MTVA — MetaVia Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About MetaVia Inc.

MetaVia Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing novel pharmaceuticals to treat cardiometabolic diseases. The company develops DA-1241, a novel G-Protein-Coupled Receptor 119 agonist with development optionality as a standalone and/or combination therapy that is in Phase 2a clinical trial for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis, as well as completed Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.09
Market Cap$6.9M
Float3.3M
Shares Outstanding5.2M
vs. Analyst Target+1673.7% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$19.33 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$29.7M -$67,000 -$29.7M
2021 N/A -$15.3M -$72,000 -$15.2M
2022 N/A -$14.0M -$28,000 -$11.8M
2023 N/A -$12.5M -$7,000 -$15.9M
2024 N/A -$27.6M -$24,000 -$28.8M
2025 N/A -$13.0M -$19,000 -$13.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 N/A -$3.7M
Jun 2025 N/A -$4.0M
Sep 2025 N/A -$3.4M
Dec 2025 N/A -$1.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership34.5%
Institutional Ownership2.9%
Short Float1.9%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.40Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.80Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$119.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.29Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.68Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.92Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.50 resistance 1.85x 2 months ago
$8.50 resistance 1.84x 3 months ago
$10.80 resistance 3.15x 5 months ago
$17.60 resistance 6.98x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (36 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.85% 0.08% 50.00% 20.00% -3.40%
1 Day -0.68% -0.74% 38.89% 13.21% -15.35%
1 Week 0.70% -2.04% 36.11% 62.41% -17.76%
2 Weeks -3.38% -2.63% 36.11% 21.60% -27.27%
1 Month -4.13% -4.64% 38.89% 30.72% -47.55%

Next earnings: May 13, 2026 (2 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.1%50.0%10
Feb0.7%30.0%10
Mar-3.1%50.0%10
Apr-10.9%40.0%10
May-10.9%22.2%9
Jun9.1%55.6%9
Jul-2.7%22.2%9
Aug-19.0%22.2%9
Sep6.5%40.0%10
Oct-18.6%20.0%10
Nov-11.2%30.0%10
Dec-16.0%10.0%10

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.31% 44.5% 458
Tuesday -0.45% 43.7% 504
Wednesday -0.22% 44.7% 501
Thursday -0.40% 41.1% 492
Friday -0.27% 46.2% 493

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 34.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$9,940
Net Shares Change4,662,087
% of Float139.6%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DONG-A ST CO., LTD +$3.3M 1 1 buy
Woodworth Marshall H Chief Financial Officer +$9,940 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-06-04 Woodworth Marshall H Chief Financial Officer +$9,940 Transaction at $0.70, now +55.7%
2025-05-20 DONG-A ST CO., LTD +$3.3M Transaction at $0.71, now +53.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MetaVia Inc. (MTVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MTVA on Trend Edge →