MNKD — MannKind Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MNKD Bearish with a Setup Score of 13, net conviction 26, actionability 7. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score13
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction26
Actionability7 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About MannKind Corp

MannKind Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the provision of various solutions for transforming chronic disease care. It develops and commercializes treatments that address serious unmet medical needs, including diabetes, pulmonary hypertension, and fluid overload in heart failure and chronic kidney disease. It offers Afrezza inhalation powder, an inhaled insulin used to improve glycemic control in adults with diabetes; and the … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.93
Market Cap$1.25B
Float303.1M
Shares Outstanding321.5M
P/E (Forward)41.67
Price/Sales (TTM)3.47
vs. Analyst Target+105.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-6.63%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.31%
Revenue (TTM)$361M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-34.90%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.09 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $65.1M -$57.2M $40.5M -$44.7M
2021 $75.4M -$80.9M $36.6M -$61.1M
2022 $99.8M -$87.4M $42.3M -$56.3M
2023 $199M -$11.9M $136M $15.1M
2024 $286M $27.6M $209M $77.5M
2025 $349M $5.9M $288M $27.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $82.1M $8.0M
Dec 2025 $112M -$15.9M
Mar 2026 $90.2M -$16.6M
Jun 2026 $109M -$19.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.5%
Institutional Ownership58.4%
Short Float9.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.80%
Number of Funds Holding230

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.05Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.46Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.67Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.12Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.69Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.80 support 1.04x 1 months ago
$2.90 support 1.49x 2 months ago
$5.70 resistance 1.49x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (89 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.06% 0.00% 46.07% 20.48% -27.31%
1 Day -1.39% -0.97% 39.33% 31.33% -28.03%
1 Week -2.53% -4.30% 37.50% 56.14% -34.58%
2 Weeks -1.09% -5.02% 38.64% 64.57% -35.65%
1 Month 2.78% -3.05% 43.18% 91.96% -45.89%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.7%68.2%22
Feb-2.7%36.4%22
Mar-2.2%40.9%22
Apr-1.8%45.5%22
May11.7%54.5%22
Jun5.9%54.5%22
Jul-5.9%31.8%22
Aug1.6%45.5%22
Sep7.9%68.2%22
Oct-3.5%50.0%22
Nov2.0%40.9%22
Dec-1.3%59.1%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 46.3% 1038
Tuesday 0.18% 45.3% 1138
Wednesday 0.19% 48.1% 1138
Thursday 0.05% 46.4% 1117
Friday -0.17% 43.2% 1111

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$1.4M
Net Shares Change-62,538
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Thomson David EVP Genl Counsel & Secretary -$553,784.6 2 N/A
Tross Stuart A Chief People & Workpl Officer -$548,527.98 2 N/A
Binder Steven B. -$388,168.45 2 N/A
Castagna Michael Chief Executive Officer +$101,857.96 3 1 buy
Singh Sanjay R EVP Technical Operations -$94,448.31 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-10 Castagna Michael Chief Executive Officer +$259,000 Transaction at $2.59, now +51.7%
2026-07-17 Thomson David EVP Genl Counsel & Secretary -$500,203.79 Transaction at $4.07, now -3.4%
2026-07-17 Binder Steven B. -$312,864.65 Transaction at $4.07, now -3.6%
2026-05-13 Binder Steven B. -$75,303.8 Transaction at $3.41, now +15.4%
2026-01-09 Tross Stuart A Chief People & Workpl Officer -$297,547.98 Transaction at $6.33, now -37.9%
2025-11-14 Singh Sanjay R EVP Technical Operations -$94,448.31 Transaction at $5.03, now -21.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MannKind Corp (MNKD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MNKD on Trend Edge →