MGNX — MacroGenics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates MGNX Bearish with a Setup Score of 35, net conviction 20, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score35
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction20
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About MacroGenics Inc

MacroGenics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, manufactures, and commercializes antibody-based therapeutics for the treatment of cancer in the United States. The company's product pipeline includes lorigerlimab, a bispecific DART molecule that targets checkpoint inhibitors PD-1 and CTLA-4 for the treatment of mCRPC and docetaxel that is in phase 2 clinical trials, as well as for the treatment of platinum-resis… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.17
Market Cap$259M
Float57.0M
Shares Outstanding63.7M
P/E (Forward)60.98
Price/Sales (TTM)1.48
vs. Analyst Target+73.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-8.33%
Operating Margin (TTM)-42.19%
Revenue (TTM)$175M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-70.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.25 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $97.8M -$118M $97.8M -$119M
2021 $75.6M -$191M $73.0M -$192M
2022 $152M -$120M $145M -$110M
2023 $57.2M -$9.1M $49.0M $2.0M
2024 $148M -$67.0M $136M -$57.4M
2025 $150M -$74.6M $106M -$59.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $72.8M $16.8M
Dec 2025 $41.2M -$14.2M
Mar 2026 $20.8M -$36.8M
Jun 2026 $32.8M $19.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.5%
Institutional Ownership77.5%
Short Float12.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.39%
Number of Funds Holding122

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.34Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.64Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.10 support 1.36x 2 months ago
$2.00 support 1.42x 4 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (52 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.45% -0.82% 36.54% 21.75% -69.12%
1 Day 5.27% 1.02% 55.77% 230.92% -77.44%
1 Week 3.27% 0.30% 51.92% 248.68% -70.25%
2 Weeks 2.96% 0.44% 50.98% 239.61% -68.98%
1 Month 2.65% -4.35% 41.18% 164.08% -65.99%

Next earnings: November 1, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.5%30.8%13
Feb6.7%61.5%13
Mar-3.8%38.5%13
Apr1.6%53.8%13
May3.5%38.5%13
Jun4.1%53.8%13
Jul-3.0%23.1%13
Aug2.7%50.0%12
Sep-7.0%8.3%12
Oct1.4%50.0%12
Nov11.3%61.5%13
Dec-0.7%46.2%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 49.2% 608
Tuesday -0.03% 46.3% 667
Wednesday 0.62% 48.3% 662
Thursday -0.08% 45.7% 650
Friday -0.00% 51.2% 648

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 77.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.5%

Founder-led management: Ezio Bonvini (Senior VP of Research & Chief Scientific Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$129,085.75
Net Shares Change-31,105
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Peters Jeffrey Stuart Senior VP, GC, and Secretary -$129,085.75 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-20 Peters Jeffrey Stuart Senior VP, GC, and Secretary -$129,085.75 Transaction at $4.15, now +0.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for MacroGenics Inc (MGNX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for MGNX on Trend Edge →