LYEL — Lyell Immunopharma Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LYEL Bullish with a Setup Score of 18, net conviction 30, actionability 11. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score18
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction30
Actionability11 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Lyell Immunopharma Inc

Lyell Immunopharma, Inc., a clinical-stage cell therapy company, develops chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T-cell product candidates for patients with hematologic malignancies and solid tumors. The company's lead product candidate include rondecabtagene autoleucel, an autologous dual-targeting CD19/CD20 CAR T-cell therapy in development, which is in pivotal PiNACLE trial in the 3L+ setting and in a Phase 1/2 clinical trial in the 2L setting, as we… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.74
Market Cap$376M
Float12.2M
Shares Outstanding24.5M
Price/Sales (TTM)13,931.63
vs. Analyst Target+157.0% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-1183425.00%
Revenue (TTM)$27,000
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$37.88 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.8M -$204M $7.8M -$215M
2021 $10.7M -$250M $10.7M -$237M
2022 $84.7M -$183M $84.7M -$165M
2023 $130,000 -$235M $130,000 -$214M
2024 $61,000 -$343M $61,000 -$201M
2025 $36,000 -$274M -$11.5M -$263M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $15,000 -$38.8M
Dec 2025 $6,000 -$141M
Mar 2026 $2,000 -$24.2M
Jun 2026 $4,000 -$44.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership37.3%
Institutional Ownership54.2%
Short Float10.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.99%
Number of Funds Holding87

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$20.37Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$16.19Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.99Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$20.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$16.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.20 resistance 2.59x 1 months ago
$31.30 resistance 1.10x 6 months ago
$56.00 resistance 1.41x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.70% -0.66% 36.36% 4.96% -12.20%
1 Day -0.10% 1.68% 54.55% 11.63% -18.61%
1 Week -6.12% -5.22% 31.82% 9.92% -27.70%
2 Weeks -4.05% -2.50% 45.45% 36.13% -23.11%
1 Month -3.44% -7.70% 33.33% 85.14% -39.09%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (61 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 45.5% 242
Tuesday -0.01% 46.5% 269
Wednesday 0.18% 47.9% 267
Thursday 0.10% 48.5% 260
Friday -0.61% 40.5% 262

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 54.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 37.3%

Founder-led management: Richard D. Klausner (Founder & Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings25
Net Value-$410,938.198
Net Shares Change994,612
% of Float8.2%
C-Suite Filings21
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ARCH Venture Partners IX, LLC +$12.5M 1 1 buy
Shook David Chief Medical Officer -$24,989.28 1 1 sell
Bulis Veronica Sanchez VP, Corporate Controller -$13,008.61 2 2 sell
Seely Lynn President and CEO -$12,929.68 2 2 sell
Lee Gary K. Chief Scientific Officer -$4,338.14 2 2 sell
Hill Stephen J. Chief Operating Officer -$2,960.14 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-12 4 4 -$14,246.7 4 C-suite
2026-02-11 – 2026-02-12 7 4 -$264,284.94 7 C-suite
2026-06-11 – 2026-06-15 5 5 -$40,573.31 5 C-suite
2026-08-11 – 2026-08-11 4 4 -$17,652.54 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Seely Lynn President and CEO -$5,592.6 Transaction at $14.34, now +2.8%
2026-08-11 Lee Gary K. Chief Scientific Officer -$1,878.54 Transaction at $14.34, now +2.8%
2026-08-11 Hill Stephen J. Chief Operating Officer -$1,276.26 Transaction at $14.34, now +2.8%
2026-08-11 Bulis Veronica Sanchez VP, Corporate Controller -$8,905.14 Transaction at $14.34, now +2.8%
2026-06-11 Shook David Chief Medical Officer -$24,989.28 Transaction at $12.64, now +16.6%
2026-06-15 Seely Lynn President and CEO -$7,337.08 Transaction at $18.91, now -22.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Lyell Immunopharma Inc (LYEL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LYEL on Trend Edge →