LRMR — Larimar Therapeutics Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates LRMR Bullish with a Setup Score of 49, net conviction 39, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score49
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Larimar Therapeutics Inc

Larimar Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing treatments for rare diseases using its novel cell penetrating peptide technology platform. Its lead product candidate is CTI-1601, which is in Phase 2 OLE clinical trial for the treatment of Friedreich's ataxia, a rare, progressive and fatal disease. The company is based in Bala Cynwyd, Pennsylvania.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.01
Market Cap$436M
Float59.9M
Shares Outstanding103.9M
vs. Analyst Target+256.6% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.30 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$42.3M -$155,000 -$42.6M
2021 N/A -$50.3M -$326,000 -$50.1M
2022 N/A -$34.2M -$272,000 -$36.2M
2023 N/A -$36.9M -$311,000 -$36.6M
2024 N/A -$80.6M -$318,000 -$80.3M
2025 N/A -$166M -$350,000 -$165M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$47.7M
Dec 2025 N/A -$62.5M
Mar 2026 N/A -$29.6M
Jun 2026 N/A -$32.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership86.2%
Short Float18.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.83%
Number of Funds Holding150

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.88Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.54Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.74Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.91Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.51Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.70Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.30 support 1.48x 13 months ago
$2.20 support 1.49x 15 months ago
$6.30 resistance 1.78x 19 months ago
$8.20 resistance 1.20x 20 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (49 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.05% 0.11% 51.02% 21.72% -26.09%
1 Day -0.86% 0.33% 51.02% 14.45% -37.17%
1 Week 0.27% 1.09% 54.17% 53.64% -35.43%
2 Weeks 1.12% 1.61% 58.33% 55.05% -41.52%
1 Month -0.91% -1.69% 45.83% 83.84% -48.75%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (72 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.8%58.3%12
Feb9.0%58.3%12
Mar-14.6%25.0%12
Apr-3.4%33.3%12
May-9.6%41.7%12
Jun-0.4%50.0%12
Jul-0.1%53.8%13
Aug8.1%50.0%12
Sep0.1%41.7%12
Oct-2.9%66.7%12
Nov3.8%58.3%12
Dec5.1%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.47% 46.2% 572
Tuesday -0.09% 46.6% 629
Wednesday 0.76% 52.4% 626
Thursday -0.06% 45.7% 613
Friday 0.05% 46.2% 611

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change5,160,000
% of Float8.6%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Flynn James E +$25.0M 1 1 buy
Hamilton Thomas Edward +$666,890 2 2 buy
THOMAS FRANK E +$25,000 1 1 buy
SHERMAN JEFFREY W +$25,000 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-02 – 2026-03-02 4 4 +$25.6M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-08 Hamilton Thomas Edward +$166,890 Transaction at $3.34, now +20.1%
2026-03-02 Flynn James E +$25.0M Transaction at $5.00, now -19.8%
2026-03-02 THOMAS FRANK E +$25,000 Transaction at $5.00, now -19.8%
2026-03-02 SHERMAN JEFFREY W +$25,000 Transaction at $5.00, now -19.8%
2026-03-02 Hamilton Thomas Edward +$500,000 Transaction at $5.00, now -19.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Larimar Therapeutics Inc (LRMR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for LRMR on Trend Edge →