KURA — Kura Oncology Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KURA Bullish with a Setup Score of 52, net conviction 39, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score52
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction39
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Kura Oncology Inc

Kura Oncology, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops medicines for the treatment of cancer. The company's first commercial product, KOMZIFTI (ziftomenib), a potent, selective, reversible and oral small molecule menin inhibitor; Darlifarnib, a Phase 1 first-in-human FIT-001 trial which includes multiple cohorts to evaluate darlifarnib in combination with other targeted therapies in large solid tumor indications; and KO-7246, a… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.60
Market Cap$936M
Float70.5M
Shares Outstanding89.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)12.12
vs. Analyst Target+200.4% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-349.77%
Revenue (TTM)$77.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$31.85 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$89.6M -$194,000 -$88.9M
2021 N/A -$130M -$558,000 -$129M
2022 N/A -$136M -$759,000 -$135M
2023 N/A -$153M -$849,000 -$150M
2024 $53.9M -$174M $53.9M -$169M
2025 $67.5M -$279M $67.4M -$276M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $20.8M -$74.1M
Dec 2025 $17.3M -$81.0M
Mar 2026 $18.3M -$73.3M
Jun 2026 $20.9M -$68.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership100.1%
Short Float19.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.50%
Number of Funds Holding220

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.79Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.86Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$11.97Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$11.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.50 resistance 1.11x 0 months ago
$9.10 support 1.34x 1 months ago
$8.80 support 1.09x 4 months ago
$6.00 support 1.23x 13 months ago
$16.70 resistance 2.67x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (44 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.97% -0.09% 47.73% 49.54% -7.33%
1 Day -0.09% -0.56% 38.64% 20.18% -13.04%
1 Week 1.68% 0.94% 61.36% 32.94% -41.55%
2 Weeks 0.30% 1.00% 52.27% 32.60% -39.22%
1 Month 1.93% 2.21% 53.49% 49.61% -42.60%

Next earnings: November 3, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.2%54.5%11
Feb3.2%54.5%11
Mar-3.3%54.5%11
Apr-2.1%27.3%11
May2.8%54.5%11
Jun4.1%54.5%11
Jul1.8%45.5%11
Aug9.7%54.5%11
Sep9.6%45.5%11
Oct-5.7%36.4%11
Nov0.1%72.7%11
Dec0.4%45.5%11

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 45.8% 520
Tuesday 0.03% 46.7% 572
Wednesday -0.03% 47.3% 569
Thursday 0.18% 49.6% 560
Friday 0.26% 46.3% 557

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 100.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

Founder-led management: Troy Wilson (Chairman, CEO & President)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings28
Net Value-$1.0M
Net Shares Change161,094
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings27
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WILSON TROY EDWARD President and CEO +$2.4M 2 2 buy
Leoni Mollie Chief Medical Officer -$613,311.463 2 2 sell
Powl Brian T. Chief Commercial Officer -$444,364.306 2 2 sell
Burrows Francis Chief Scientific Officer -$103,945.535 2 2 sell
DOYLE THOMAS JAMES SVP, Finance & Accounting -$99,092.55 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-14 – 2025-11-14 5 5 -$498,679.747 5 C-suite
2026-01-27 – 2026-01-27 6 6 -$305,159.886 6 C-suite
2026-05-20 – 2026-05-22 4 3 -$154,765.068 4 C-suite
2026-08-17 – 2026-08-24 4 3 +$1.9M 4 C-suite
2026-09-25 – 2026-09-29 6 6 -$1.1M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-17 WILSON TROY EDWARD President and CEO +$1.1M Transaction at $11.12, now -4.7%
2026-08-24 WILSON TROY EDWARD President and CEO +$1.2M Transaction at $12.39, now -14.4%
2026-09-29 Powl Brian T. Chief Commercial Officer -$345,035.196 Transaction at $10.59, now +0.1%
2026-09-29 Leoni Mollie Chief Medical Officer -$440,237.167 Transaction at $10.62, now -0.2%
2026-09-25 Burrows Francis Chief Scientific Officer -$40,014.395 Transaction at $8.49, now +24.8%
2026-09-29 DOYLE THOMAS JAMES SVP, Finance & Accounting -$48,360.6 Transaction at $10.50, now +1.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kura Oncology Inc (KURA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KURA on Trend Edge →