KROS — Keros Therapeutics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KROS Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 30, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction30
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Keros Therapeutics Inc

Keros Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes novel therapeutics to treat patients with disorders linked to dysfunctional signaling of the transforming growth factor-beta family of proteins in the United States. It develops rinvatercept, which acts as a ligand trap and inhibits the biological effects of myostatin and activin A in Phase 1 clinical trials for Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy and Amyotr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$11.80
Market Cap$238M
Float17.8M
Shares Outstanding19.8M
P/E (Forward)15.65
Price/Sales (TTM)7.18
vs. Analyst Target+85.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-256.60%
Operating Margin (TTM)-7050.95%
Revenue (TTM)$33.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$21.83 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.5M -$45.4M -$605,000 -$44.9M
2021 $20.1M -$58.7M $20.1M -$56.4M
2022 $20.0M -$105M -$1.6M -$104M
2023 $151,000 -$153M $151,000 -$152M
2024 $3.5M -$187M $3.5M -$186M
2025 $244M $87.0M $243M $93.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $18.2M -$30.7M
Sep 2025 $14.3M -$7.3M
Dec 2025 $385,000 -$23.5M
Mar 2026 $367,000 -$23.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.7%
Institutional Ownership95.6%
Short Float7.9%
% of All Funds Holding1.67%
Number of Funds Holding137

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$11.02Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.57Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$33.71Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.11Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$30.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.10 support 1.69x 14 months ago
$57.00 resistance 3.69x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (25 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.13% -0.13% 48.00% 5.83% -5.74%
1 Day -2.43% -2.18% 28.00% 12.77% -14.96%
1 Week 0.02% 0.07% 52.00% 21.02% -24.26%
2 Weeks -0.28% -0.89% 44.00% 35.88% -26.98%
1 Month 3.50% 3.34% 54.17% 47.89% -36.38%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.20% 45.4% 293
Tuesday 0.41% 49.4% 324
Wednesday 0.03% 48.1% 322
Thursday 0.08% 51.1% 315
Friday 0.03% 50.0% 312

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 95.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.7%

Founder-led management: Jasbir S. Seehra (President, CEO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$331,819.5
Net Shares Change-10,951,457
% of Float-61.5%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Pontifax Management 4 G.P. (2015) Ltd. -$85.0M 1 1 sell
Knowles Julius -$5.7M 1 1 sell
ORBIMED ADVISORS LLC -$3.8M 1 1 sell
GORDON CARL L -$3.8M 1 1 sell
Seehra Jasbir CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER -$113,432.55 1 1 sell
Cho Esther SVP, General Counsel -$77,580.75 1 1 sell
Regnante Keith CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$77,482.65 1 1 sell
Lerner Lorena Raquel Chief Science Officer -$63,323.55 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-18 – 2025-12-18 3 3 -$13.3M
2026-02-20 – 2026-02-20 4 4 -$331,819.5 4 C-suite
2026-06-08 – 2026-06-17 5 5 -$79,804.5

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-20 Regnante Keith CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$77,482.65 Transaction at $16.35, now -27.8%
2026-02-20 Lerner Lorena Raquel Chief Science Officer -$63,323.55 Transaction at $16.35, now -27.8%
2026-02-20 Cho Esther SVP, General Counsel -$77,580.75 Transaction at $16.35, now -27.8%
2026-02-20 Seehra Jasbir CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER -$113,432.55 Transaction at $16.17, now -27.0%
2025-10-17 Pontifax Management 4 G.P. (2015) Ltd. -$85.0M Transaction at $17.75, now -33.5%
2025-12-18 Knowles Julius -$5.7M Transaction at $17.75, now -33.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Keros Therapeutics Inc (KROS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KROS on Trend Edge →