KALA — Kala Pharmaceuticals Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates KALA Bearish with a Setup Score of 73, net conviction 38, actionability 142. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score73
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction38
Actionability142 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Kala Pharmaceuticals Inc

KALA BIO, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of an on-premises artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure platform for biotechnology research applications in the United States. The company develops Researgency, an agentic AI research platform for private enterprise AI deployment. Its platform intends to utilize the KPI-012 clinical development dataset as a proof-of-concept validation environment, as well as the mesench… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.64
Market Cap$51.4M
Float18.6M
Shares Outstanding18.6M
Price/Sales (TTM)23.75
vs. Analyst Target-43.2% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$1.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.4M -$104M $3.2M -$93.4M
2021 $11.2M -$143M $7.1M -$107M
2022 $3.9M -$44.8M $1.3M -$80.5M
2023 N/A -$42.2M -$303,000 -$38.9M
2024 N/A -$38.5M -$259,000 -$40.2M
2025 N/A -$27.0M -$317,000 -$23.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$11.2M
Sep 2025 N/A -$7.6M
Dec 2025 N/A $686,000
Mar 2026 N/A -$1.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.3%
Institutional Ownership0.6%
Short Float0.4%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.11Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$71.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$204.17Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$386.16Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.59Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$178.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$320.06Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$19.00 resistance 3.93x 2 months ago
$65.00 resistance 7.71x 5 months ago
$73.00 resistance 2.50x 7 months ago
$601.00 resistance 7.49x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.82% -0.31% 31.43% 16.38% -14.72%
1 Day -0.54% -1.59% 34.29% 64.70% -14.29%
1 Week -0.38% -4.39% 40.00% 85.35% -30.29%
2 Weeks -5.05% -6.21% 40.00% 39.91% -49.14%
1 Month -6.61% -8.90% 23.53% 113.27% -62.86%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.4%44.4%9
Feb-9.2%22.2%9
Mar18.1%55.6%9
Apr-12.9%33.3%9
May-16.9%22.2%9
Jun0.8%50.0%8
Jul-2.5%37.5%8
Aug4.4%44.4%9
Sep-25.8%0.0%9
Oct-21.9%11.1%9
Nov3.9%55.6%9
Dec57.0%33.3%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.61% 41.9% 418
Tuesday -0.32% 43.6% 461
Wednesday 0.19% 43.1% 457
Thursday -0.12% 44.1% 449
Friday 0.17% 44.8% 451

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 0.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$153,591.881
Net Shares Change-1,064,499
% of Float-5.7%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Iwicki Mark T -$125,464.14 1 1 sell
Brazzell Romulus K Head of Research and Development and Chief Medical Officer -$59,857.35 2 1 sell
Bazemore Todd -$55,920.02 2 1 sell
Reumuth Mary CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$42,103.861 2 1 sell
Kharabi Darius CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER -$35,358.09 2 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-26 – 2025-06-26 5 5 -$123,018.78 4 C-suite
2025-10-24 – 2025-10-24 5 5 -$248,724.951 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-24 Reumuth Mary CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$27,543.551 Transaction at $0.83, now +218.2%
2025-10-24 Kharabi Darius CHIEF BUSINESS OFFICER -$17,268.98 Transaction at $0.83, now +218.1%
2025-10-24 Brazzell Romulus K Head of Research and Development and Chief Medical Officer -$38,800.84 Transaction at $0.83, now +218.1%
2025-10-24 Iwicki Mark T -$125,464.14 Transaction at $0.81, now +225.9%
2025-10-24 Bazemore Todd -$39,647.44 Transaction at $0.83, now +218.1%
2025-10-02 BAKER BROS. ADVISORS LP -$1.1M Transaction at $1.45, now +82.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Kala Pharmaceuticals Inc (KALA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for KALA on Trend Edge →