JFIN — Jiayin Group Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates JFIN Bearish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 35, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Jiayin Group Inc

Jiayin Group Inc. provides online consumer finance services in the People's Republic of China. The company operates a fintech platform that facilitates connections between individual borrowers and financial institutions. It also offers loan products with fixed terms and repayment schedules; guarantee services; referral services for investment products offered by third-party financial service providers; technology development services; and commerc… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.33
Market Cap$123M
Float16.8M
Shares Outstanding25.3M
P/E (Forward)1.83
P/E (TTM)0.89
Price/Sales (TTM)0.02
vs. Analyst Target+385.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin17.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)-9.26%
Revenue (TTM)$5.20B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-62.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$11.31

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.30B $253M $1.06B $325M
2021 $1.78B $472M $1.44B $448M
2022 $3.27B $1.18B $2.71B $1.19B
2023 $5.47B $1.30B $3.46B $1.34B
2024 $5.80B $1.06B $3.77B $1.27B
2025 $866M $214M $674M $270M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.89B $519M
Sep 2025 $1.47B $376M
Dec 2025 $1.08B $99.2M
Mar 2026 $1.08B $99.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership25.5%
Institutional Ownership2.5%
Short Float0.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.33%
Number of Funds Holding29

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.82Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.61Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.66Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.40 resistance 1.09x 1 months ago
$9.50 resistance 1.49x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (30 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.68% -0.81% 43.33% 53.08% -5.37%
1 Day -0.79% -1.43% 33.33% 19.87% -15.22%
1 Week -1.44% -2.75% 41.38% 27.18% -29.47%
2 Weeks -4.44% -5.31% 34.48% 18.36% -32.01%
1 Month -7.68% -8.49% 31.03% 26.33% -43.16%

Next earnings: August 19, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.4%71.4%7
Feb4.8%57.1%7
Mar24.5%71.4%7
Apr-8.2%28.6%7
May7.5%42.9%7
Jun11.0%50.0%8
Jul-6.8%25.0%8
Aug-0.6%42.9%7
Sep-1.1%28.6%7
Oct-11.1%28.6%7
Nov-6.6%42.9%7
Dec-10.1%28.6%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.44% 45.9% 344
Tuesday 0.23% 47.2% 379
Wednesday 0.43% 47.2% 375
Thursday -0.03% 42.8% 367
Friday -0.43% 44.5% 366

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 25.5%

Founder-led management: Dinggui Yan (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Jiayin Group Inc (JFIN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JFIN on Trend Edge →