JCAP — Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock

Jefferson Capital, Inc. provides debt recovery solutions and other related services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and Latin America. It primarily purchases portfolios of previously charged-off consumer receivables at deep discounts to face value and manage them by working with individuals as they repay their obligations and work toward financial recovery. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.29
Market Cap$964M
Float14.7M
Shares Outstanding55.4M
P/E (TTM)3.38
Price/Sales (TTM)1.54
Profit Margin25.81%
Operating Margin (TTM)47.34%
Revenue (TTM)$625M
Dividend Rate1.0%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2017 $12.2M $14.6M $11.9M $16.1M
2018 $31.2M $54.4M $29.5M $60.0M
2019 $45.1M $44.4M $41.1M $59.2M
2023 $323M $112M $238M $121M
2024 $433M $105M $308M $158M
2025 $613M $188M $416M $329M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $153M $47.7M
Sep 2025 $151M $38.4M
Dec 2025 $155M $37.7M
Mar 2026 $176M $37.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.4%
Institutional Ownership98.7%
Short Float5.2%
% of All Funds Holding1.17%
Number of Funds Holding96

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$19.30Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$20.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$0.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.75Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$0.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Volume shelf data not available.

Historical Earnings Reactions (4 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% -0.42% 50.00% 4.48% -4.22%
1 Day -0.43% -1.96% 25.00% 6.59% -4.39%
1 Week -2.81% -2.44% 25.00% 1.11% -7.49%
2 Weeks -3.09% -0.32% 0.00% -0.10% -8.84%
1 Month 0.89% 2.11% 66.67% 5.39% -4.82%

Next earnings: June 11, 2026 (15 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.4%

Founder-led management: David Burton (CHAIRMAN & CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$14.3M
Net Shares Change-16,316,411
% of Float-110.9%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
JCF IV JCAP Holding L.P. -$216M 1 1 sell
J.C. Flowers IV L.P. -$131M 1 1 sell
Burton David M. Officer Title: Chief Executive Officer and President -$14.3M 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-14 Burton David M. Officer Title: Chief Executive Officer and President -$7.9M Transaction at $20.50, now -15.7%
2026-01-13 JCF IV JCAP Holding L.P. -$216M Transaction at $19.63, now -11.9%
2025-06-30 Burton David M. Officer Title: Chief Executive Officer and President -$6.4M Transaction at $15.00, now +15.3%
2025-07-01 J.C. Flowers IV L.P. -$131M Transaction at $15.00, now +15.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock (JCAP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JCAP on Trend Edge →