JACK — Jack in the Box Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates JACK Bearish with a Setup Score of 57, net conviction 55, actionability 59. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score57
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction55
Actionability59 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Jack in the Box Inc.

Jack in the Box Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises quick-service restaurants (QSR) in the United States. It operates through Jack in the Box and Del Taco segments. The company engages in the operation of a hamburger chain under the Jack in the Box brand; and a Mexican-American QSR chain under the Del Taco brand. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.89
Market Cap$289M
Float12.3M
Shares Outstanding19.1M
P/E (Forward)4.39
Price/Sales (TTM)0.20
vs. Analyst Target+8.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.49%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.54%
Revenue (TTM)$1.43B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-73.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$16.12 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.02B $89.8M $354M $242M
2021 $1.14B $166M $412M $337M
2022 $1.47B $116M $433M $304M
2023 $1.69B $131M $508M $337M
2024 $1.57B -$36.7M $463M $138M
2025 $1.47B -$80.7M $420M $36.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $333M $22.0M
Sep 2025 $326M $5.8M
Dec 2025 $350M -$2.5M
Mar 2026 $254M $10.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.2%
Institutional Ownership99.1%
Short Float54.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.55%
Number of Funds Holding127

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.21Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$16.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$21.09Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$50.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$15.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$21.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$45.12Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.40 support 1.01x 0 months ago
$16.50 resistance 1.03x 3 months ago
$26.20 resistance 1.31x 13 months ago
$38.80 resistance 1.41x 15 months ago
$48.00 resistance 1.08x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.44% 0.00% 48.78% 17.07% -17.18%
1 Day 0.19% 0.00% 49.59% 21.55% -18.13%
1 Week 1.21% 0.45% 52.03% 37.07% -21.49%
2 Weeks 1.17% 0.00% 49.59% 39.13% -31.44%
1 Month 1.16% 0.89% 56.56% 47.19% -70.59%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%64.7%34
Feb-0.2%50.0%34
Mar-0.2%70.6%34
Apr1.8%42.9%35
May2.9%57.1%35
Jun-0.2%48.6%35
Jul1.5%50.0%34
Aug-0.3%44.1%34
Sep-1.4%44.1%34
Oct-0.9%47.1%34
Nov2.4%50.0%34
Dec1.6%58.8%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 45.4% 1627
Tuesday 0.01% 46.8% 1775
Wednesday 0.05% 46.9% 1773
Thursday 0.09% 48.2% 1739
Friday 0.09% 48.9% 1728

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings30
Net Value-$406,632.06
Net Shares Change36,851
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings29
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
King Mark James Exec Chairman & Interim CEO -$74,064.83 1 1 sell
DIAZ GUILLERMO JR +$68,622.62 1 1 buy
SUPER SARAH L EVP, Chief Legal&Admin Officer -$22,275.916 1 1 sell
Tucker Lance F. DIRECTOR & CEO +$17,685.5 2 1 buy, 1 sell
Ostrom Ryan Lee EVP, Chief Cust&Digtl Officer +$17,551.7 1 1 buy
MOUNT CARL SVP, CHF SUPPLY CHAIN OFFICER -$13,817.172 1 1 sell
COOK RICHARD D SVP, CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER -$12,402.398 1 1 sell
Piano Steven SVP, CHIEF PEOPLE OFFICER -$11,155.462 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-24 – 2025-12-03 10 8 -$126,223.812 10 C-suite
2025-12-10 – 2025-12-17 6 6 -$24,472.6 6 C-suite
2025-12-30 – 2025-12-30 4 4 -$30,377.06 4 C-suite
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-04 5 5 -$68,580.231 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-28 DIAZ GUILLERMO JR +$68,622.62 Transaction at $5.75, now +158.7%
2026-06-18 King Mark James Exec Chairman & Interim CEO -$74,064.83 Transaction at $12.53, now +18.8%
2026-05-04 SUPER SARAH L EVP, Chief Legal&Admin Officer -$22,275.916 Transaction at $12.10, now +23.1%
2026-05-04 MOUNT CARL SVP, CHF SUPPLY CHAIN OFFICER -$13,817.172 Transaction at $12.10, now +23.1%
2026-05-04 Piano Steven SVP, CHIEF PEOPLE OFFICER -$11,155.462 Transaction at $12.10, now +23.1%
2026-05-04 HOOPER DAWN E EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$8,929.283 Transaction at $12.10, now +23.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Jack in the Box Inc. (JACK) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for JACK on Trend Edge →