IRON — Disc Medicine Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates IRON Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 29, actionability 64. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction29
Actionability64 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Disc Medicine Inc.

Disc Medicine, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of novel treatments for patients suffering from serious hematologic diseases in the United States. The company has assembled a portfolio of clinical and preclinical product candidates that aim to modify fundamental biological pathways associated with the formation and function of red blood c… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$76.59
Market Cap$3.02B
Float32.8M
Shares Outstanding38.2M
vs. Analyst Target+32.6% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$101.55 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$40.8M -$322,000 -$33.7M
2021 N/A -$36.0M -$192,000 -$33.8M
2022 N/A -$46.1M -$300,000 -$47.4M
2023 N/A -$76.4M -$100,000 -$76.2M
2024 N/A -$109M -$156,000 -$108M
2025 N/A -$212M -$281,000 -$208M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$55.2M
Sep 2025 $7.9M -$62.3M
Dec 2025 -$19.9M -$60.5M
Mar 2026 N/A -$63.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.8%
Institutional Ownership113.4%
Short Float18.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.29%
Number of Funds Holding188

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$70.49Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$74.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$64.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$53.22Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$75.21Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$65.58Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$57.23Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$93.00 resistance 1.48x 6 months ago
$48.00 support 1.16x 12 months ago
$46.00 support 1.14x 19 months ago
$34.60 support 1.42x 24 months ago
$27.80 support 1.14x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% -0.04% 50.00% 3.72% -4.73%
1 Day 0.84% 0.44% 54.17% 11.48% -4.53%
1 Week -1.53% 0.37% 54.17% 31.44% -44.29%
2 Weeks -0.27% 1.64% 58.33% 42.69% -48.25%
1 Month 2.47% 3.34% 56.52% 54.44% -55.54%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.31% 51.8% 276
Tuesday -0.03% 47.4% 306
Wednesday 0.23% 50.3% 304
Thursday -0.42% 47.8% 297
Friday -0.01% 47.3% 296

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 113.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings35
Net Value-$15.9M
Net Shares Change-1,268,925
% of Float-3.9%
C-Suite Filings24
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
AI DMI LLC -$59.9M 1 1 sell
Bitterman Kevin -$33.8M 6 7 sell
Franchi Jean M. Chief Financial Officer -$1.2M 2 N/A
Savage William Jacob Chief Medical Officer -$380,448.996 1 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-15 – 2025-12-18 4 3 -$21.4M 2 C-suite
2026-02-17 – 2026-02-27 7 6 -$2.5M 7 C-suite
2026-06-18 – 2026-06-30 6 3 -$4.3M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-16 Bitterman Kevin -$16.8M Transaction at $65.64, now +16.7%
2025-10-24 AI DMI LLC -$59.9M Transaction at $80.47, now -4.8%
2025-10-17 Bitterman Kevin -$8.0M Transaction at $85.97, now -10.9%
2025-10-09 Bitterman Kevin -$6.3M Transaction at $70.14, now +9.2%
2025-07-25 Bitterman Kevin -$2.6M Transaction at $61.03, now +25.5%
2025-12-18 Bitterman Kevin -$68,968.38 Transaction at $91.47, now -16.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Disc Medicine Inc. (IRON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for IRON on Trend Edge →