INVA — Innoviva Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Innoviva Inc

Innoviva, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company in the United States and internationally. Its royalty portfolio includes RELVAR/BREO ELLIPTA, a once-daily combination medicine consisting of a LABA, vilanterol, and an inhaled corticosteroid, and fluticasone furoate; ANORO ELLIPTA, a once-daily medicine combining a long-acting muscarinic antagonist, umeclidinium bromide, and ABA, VI. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.68
Market Cap$1.64B
Float69.1M
Shares Outstanding73.8M
P/E (Forward)11.49
P/E (TTM)3.55
Price/Sales (TTM)3.89
vs. Analyst Target+56.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin119.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)40.11%
Revenue (TTM)$421M
Earnings Growth (YoY)590.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$35.50 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $337M $224M $336,794 $317M
2021 $392M $266M $392M $361M
2022 $331M $214M $318M $308M
2023 $310M $180M $268M $235M
2024 $359M $23.4M $322M $85.5M
2025 $425M $271M $308M $384M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $100M $63.7M
Sep 2025 $108M $89.9M
Dec 2025 $118M $164M
Mar 2026 $98.0M $187M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership107.9%
Short Float9.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.19%
Number of Funds Holding262

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$23.03Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$20.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$19.85Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.68Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.05Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$19.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$17.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.20 support 1.02x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (86 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.67% 0.23% 54.65% 20.00% -11.13%
1 Day 1.07% 0.04% 50.00% 21.98% -19.49%
1 Week 1.03% -0.23% 48.84% 25.96% -33.59%
2 Weeks 1.30% 0.56% 52.33% 34.95% -34.38%
1 Month 0.12% -0.68% 49.41% 31.76% -42.77%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.9%50.0%22
Feb4.0%50.0%22
Mar0.5%59.1%22
Apr3.5%50.0%22
May0.2%57.1%21
Jun0.2%42.9%21
Jul3.6%61.9%21
Aug-2.2%42.9%21
Sep-2.2%42.9%21
Oct-1.3%47.6%21
Nov4.1%50.0%22
Dec4.7%54.5%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 47.1% 1019
Tuesday 0.02% 50.0% 1117
Wednesday -0.04% 47.7% 1118
Thursday 0.17% 50.3% 1096
Friday 0.04% 48.2% 1092

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 107.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Innoviva Inc (INVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for INVA on Trend Edge →