HYPD — Hyperion DeFi, Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HYPD Bearish with a Setup Score of 28, net conviction 32, actionability 24. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score28
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction32
Actionability24 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Hyperion DeFi, Inc.

Hyperion DeFi, Inc., a DeFi company, engages in building on Hyperliquid. It operates through two segments: Ophthalmic Technology and Digital Assets. The company focuses on the long-term strategic treasury of HYPE tokens to provide simplified exposure to the Hyperliquid blockchain ecosystem. It is also developing the Optejet User Filled Device to work with various topical ophthalmic liquids, including artificial tears and lens rewetting products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.09
Market Cap$45.0M
Float13.4M
Shares Outstanding15.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)45.34
Operating Margin (TTM)-1856.99%
Revenue (TTM)$1.0M
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.0M -$19.8M $1.2M -$19.7M
2021 $14.0M -$12.8M $12.4M -$12.2M
2022 N/A -$28.0M N/A -$26.3M
2023 $3,787 -$27.3M -$12,218 -$24.1M
2024 $57,336 -$49.8M -$3.9M -$46.2M
2025 $813,455 -$45.3M $510,165 -$43.8M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$8.7M
Sep 2025 $302,506 $6.6M
Dec 2025 $496,229 -$39.8M
Mar 2026 $244,271 $8.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership14.1%
Institutional Ownership11.4%
Short Float8.7%
% of All Funds Holding0.29%
Number of Funds Holding24

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$82.70Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.81Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$64.39Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.70 support 6.54x 12 months ago
$1.20 support 6.44x 13 months ago
$11.40 resistance 3.12x 17 months ago
$39.10 resistance 5.19x 19 months ago
$102.00 resistance 2.80x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% -0.23% 39.39% 57.52% -19.81%
1 Day -0.38% -1.71% 42.42% 47.79% -23.20%
1 Week -6.17% -1.63% 36.36% 47.79% -81.78%
2 Weeks -1.95% -0.74% 42.42% 84.07% -81.58%
1 Month 10.55% -0.52% 50.00% 384.96% -83.76%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (30 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-5.2%37.5%8
Feb-0.0%33.3%9
Mar-8.6%44.4%9
Apr8.0%55.6%9
May-5.7%22.2%9
Jun46.4%22.2%9
Jul5.2%25.0%8
Aug-9.8%25.0%8
Sep3.9%37.5%8
Oct-11.8%25.0%8
Nov-7.6%37.5%8
Dec15.3%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.13% 43.1% 399
Tuesday 0.63% 43.0% 437
Wednesday -0.12% 45.7% 433
Thursday -0.28% 40.1% 426
Friday 0.01% 44.5% 425

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 11.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 14.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value+$129,920.5
Net Shares Change197,204
% of Float1.5%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Strahlman Ellen R +$233,756.24 2 4 buy
Walters Happy David +$187,152.46 1 1 buy
Knox David R. Chief Financial Officer +$100,340.5 1 1 buy
GELTZEILER MICHAEL S +$90,210 1 1 buy
Jung Hyunsu Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer +$29,580 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-19 – 2025-12-30 4 3 +$511,118.7

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-02 Jung Hyunsu Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer +$29,580 Transaction at $3.70, now -16.4%
2025-12-30 Strahlman Ellen R +$113,092.249 Transaction at $3.66, now -15.6%
2025-12-22 Strahlman Ellen R +$120,663.991 Transaction at $3.14, now -1.6%
2026-01-05 Knox David R. Chief Financial Officer +$100,340.5 Transaction at $3.59, now -13.9%
2025-12-19 Walters Happy David +$187,152.46 Transaction at $3.02, now +2.3%
2025-12-19 GELTZEILER MICHAEL S +$90,210 Transaction at $3.01, now +2.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Hyperion DeFi, Inc. (HYPD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HYPD on Trend Edge →