HUMA — Humacyte Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates HUMA Bearish with a Setup Score of 33, net conviction 29, actionability 37. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score33
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction29
Actionability37 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Humacyte Inc

Humacyte, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and manufacture of off-the-shelf, implantable, and bioengineered human tissues for the treatment of diseases and conditions across a range of anatomic locations in multiple therapeutic areas. The company using its proprietary and scientific technology platform to engineer and manufacture human acellular vessels (HAVs) to be implanted into patient without inducing a foreign… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.07
Market Cap$240M
Float190.6M
Shares Outstanding222.0M
P/E (Forward)35.84
Price/Sales (TTM)118.94
vs. Analyst Target+96.3% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-5704.04%
Revenue (TTM)$2.0M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2.10 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.5M -$66.5M -$52.6M -$56.2M
2021 $1.3M -$26.5M -$60.1M -$73.0M
2022 $1.6M -$12.0M -$6.7M -$76.4M
2023 N/A -$111M -$76.5M -$96.5M
2024 N/A -$149M -$7.2M -$132M
2025 $2.0M -$40.8M -$15.0M -$100M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $301,000 -$37.7M
Sep 2025 $753,000 -$17.5M
Dec 2025 $467,000 -$24.8M
Mar 2026 $495,000 -$17.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.1%
Institutional Ownership26.9%
Short Float21.1%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.98Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.14Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.17Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.05Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.11Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$0.90 support 1.20x 0 months ago
$1.30 resistance 1.04x 5 months ago
$2.20 resistance 1.39x 9 months ago
$3.40 resistance 1.25x 14 months ago
$9.50 resistance 1.76x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (22 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.35% 0.15% 50.00% 16.44% -4.76%
1 Day 2.10% 1.70% 54.55% 23.55% -13.11%
1 Week 0.98% -1.23% 40.91% 54.92% -39.27%
2 Weeks 6.62% 3.35% 68.18% 96.72% -56.19%
1 Month 5.33% 2.46% 54.55% 118.85% -58.61%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 44.4% 257
Tuesday -0.09% 45.6% 287
Wednesday 0.22% 48.3% 286
Thursday -0.19% 40.5% 279
Friday 0.00% 47.7% 279

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 26.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$3.7M
Net Shares Change-4,482,090
% of Float-2.4%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Niklason Laura E President, CEO and Director -$3.7M 1 1 sell
Dougan Brady W -$3.7M 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-20 Niklason Laura E President, CEO and Director -$3.7M Transaction at $1.67, now -35.8%
2025-08-20 Dougan Brady W -$3.7M Transaction at $1.67, now -35.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Humacyte Inc (HUMA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HUMA on Trend Edge →