HRMY — Harmony Biosciences Holdings

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Harmony Biosciences Holdings

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing therapies for patients with rare neurological diseases in the United States. The company offers WAKIX (pitolisant), a molecule with a novel mechanism of action for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness in adult patients with narcolepsy. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$30.09
Market Cap$1.82B
Float51.7M
Shares Outstanding57.9M
P/E (Forward)9.95
P/E (TTM)12.65
Price/Sales (TTM)2.02
vs. Analyst Target+47.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.31%
Revenue (TTM)$899M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-29.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$44.36 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $160M -$36.9M $132M $1.5M
2021 $305M $34.6M $250M $80.5M
2022 $438M $181M $354M $147M
2023 $582M $129M $461M $222M
2024 $715M $145M $558M $233M
2025 $868M $159M $670M $255M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $200M $39.8M
Sep 2025 $239M $50.9M
Dec 2025 $244M $22.5M
Mar 2026 $215M $32.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership11.7%
Institutional Ownership103.3%
Short Float13.3%
% of All Funds Holding3.47%
Number of Funds Holding285

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$29.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$32.31Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$33.24Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$35.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$32.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$32.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$33.09Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$28.30 support 1.07x 0 months ago
$36.50 resistance 1.50x 2 months ago
$37.80 resistance 1.21x 14 months ago
$40.00 resistance 2.22x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.51% -0.29% 50.00% 4.47% -9.64%
1 Day -0.60% 0.09% 50.00% 7.27% -18.53%
1 Week 0.28% -1.46% 45.83% 19.95% -17.35%
2 Weeks 1.43% 1.90% 50.00% 21.38% -18.44%
1 Month 4.22% 2.78% 60.87% 32.75% -19.96%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 47.2% 269
Tuesday 0.41% 52.2% 299
Wednesday -0.05% 46.1% 297
Thursday -0.02% 47.6% 290
Friday -0.10% 48.5% 291

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 11.7%

Founder-led management: Jeffrey S. Aronin (Founder & Non-Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$2.9M
Net Shares Change-55,640
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kapadia Sandip CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$2.0M 5 N/A
Dayno Jeffrey M. PRESIDENT, CEO -$875,702.611 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-28 Kapadia Sandip CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$139,171.392 Transaction at $37.15, now -19.0%
2026-01-20 Kapadia Sandip CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$752,833.18 Transaction at $35.92, now -16.2%
2025-12-17 Dayno Jeffrey M. PRESIDENT, CEO -$875,702.611 Transaction at $24.16, now +24.5%
2025-12-09 Kapadia Sandip CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$210,296 Transaction at $34.29, now -12.2%
2025-11-25 Kapadia Sandip CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$119,945 Transaction at $35.00, now -14.0%
2025-08-19 Kapadia Sandip CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$787,377.826 Transaction at $36.50, now -17.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Harmony Biosciences Holdings (HRMY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for HRMY on Trend Edge →