GRI — GRI Bio Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About GRI Bio Inc.

GRI Bio, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing therapies that target diseases leading to inflammatory, fibrotic, and autoimmune disorders in the United States. Its lead product candidate is GRI-0621, an oral inhibitor of type 1 Natural Killer T cells, which is in phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of severe fibrotic lung diseases, such as idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.03
Market Cap$3.1M
Float1.8M
Shares Outstanding1.4M
vs. Analyst Target+7781.8% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$160.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $100,000 -$2.5M $100,000 -$1.5M
2021 N/A -$9.3M -$73,000 -$9.2M
2022 N/A -$3.2M -$50,000 -$2.5M
2023 $21.8M -$13.0M -$57,000 -$10.9M
2024 $22.5M -$8.2M -$4,000 -$8.2M
2025 N/A -$12.0M -$4,000 -$12.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 N/A -$3.0M
Jun 2025 $22.5M -$2.9M
Sep 2025 $6.3M -$3.4M
Dec 2025 N/A -$2.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership0.7%
Short Float6.1%
% of All Funds Holding0.06%
Number of Funds Holding5

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$23.67Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$100.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$116438.24Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.94Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$106.50Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$55018.99Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.00 resistance 6.76x 3 months ago
$55.00 resistance 4.47x 4 months ago
$261.00 resistance 5.18x 12 months ago
$913.00 resistance 7.00x 21 months ago
$1860.00 resistance 4.87x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (20 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.60% -0.89% 30.00% 9.37% -23.96%
1 Day -2.80% -1.35% 20.00% 10.77% -19.58%
1 Week -12.10% -12.56% 35.00% 49.80% -75.80%
2 Weeks -14.60% -8.93% 40.00% 30.08% -79.66%
1 Month -18.21% -16.15% 25.00% 48.46% -75.21%

Next earnings: May 21, 2026 (4 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.41% 40.0% 245
Tuesday -0.29% 46.0% 272
Wednesday -0.42% 45.6% 270
Thursday -1.28% 39.8% 264
Friday -0.83% 36.1% 266

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 0.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

Founder-led management: Marc Hertz (Co-Founder, CEO, President & Director), Vipin Kumar (Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer), Albert Agro (Co-Founder & Chief Medical Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GRI Bio Inc. (GRI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for GRI on Trend Edge →