FATE — Fate Therapeutics Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates FATE Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 25, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction25
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Fate Therapeutics Inc

Fate Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, develops programmed cellular immunotherapies for cancer and immune disorders in the United States and internationally. The company's chimeric antigen receptor (CAR)-targeted NK and T-cell product candidates include FT836 which is in preclinical stage for multiple tumor types; and FT522, to treat B-cell Lymphoma and autoimmunity. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.44
Market Cap$294M
Float104.8M
Shares Outstanding119.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)45.23
vs. Analyst Target+135.4% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-1495.39%
Revenue (TTM)$6.5M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.74 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $31.4M -$173M -$94.2M -$125M
2021 $55.8M -$212M $50.0M -$206M
2022 $96.3M -$255M $96.3M -$295M
2023 $63.5M -$161M -$93.7M -$143M
2024 $13.6M -$186M -$105M -$177M
2025 $6.6M -$136M -$6.3M -$127M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.7M -$32.3M
Dec 2025 $1.4M -$32.4M
Mar 2026 $1.3M -$31.2M
Jun 2026 $2.1M -$30.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership68.9%
Short Float7.3%
% of All Funds Holding1.77%
Number of Funds Holding156

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.59Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.73Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.43Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.59Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.46Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.68Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.30 support 2.39x 2 months ago
$0.80 support 1.10x 15 months ago
$3.10 resistance 1.48x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (52 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.39% 0.61% 53.85% 8.78% -10.57%
1 Day -0.48% -0.76% 38.46% 20.21% -15.05%
1 Week -1.23% -3.01% 34.62% 52.28% -28.93%
2 Weeks -0.14% -0.62% 45.10% 49.24% -28.41%
1 Month -1.10% -3.23% 43.14% 73.48% -32.89%

Next earnings: November 1, 2026 (68 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.0%53.8%13
Feb7.8%61.5%13
Mar-2.1%46.2%13
Apr0.4%61.5%13
May7.1%46.2%13
Jun0.5%53.8%13
Jul3.9%38.5%13
Aug-2.5%33.3%12
Sep0.1%41.7%12
Oct-9.2%25.0%12
Nov9.1%53.8%13
Dec4.5%53.8%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.23% 45.2% 608
Tuesday 0.06% 46.3% 668
Wednesday 0.08% 46.8% 664
Thursday -0.25% 44.6% 652
Friday 0.46% 50.7% 649

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 68.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$322,904.541
Net Shares Change-153,062
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Valamehr Bahram President and CEO -$168,140.444 3 3 sell
TAHL CINDY Chief Legal and Compliance Officer -$154,764.097 3 3 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-05 Valamehr Bahram President and CEO -$108,100.831 Transaction at $2.46, now -0.8%
2026-08-05 TAHL CINDY Chief Legal and Compliance Officer -$95,405.32 Transaction at $2.46, now -0.8%
2026-05-21 Valamehr Bahram President and CEO -$54,482.161 Transaction at $1.88, now +29.6%
2026-05-21 TAHL CINDY Chief Legal and Compliance Officer -$48,083.61 Transaction at $1.88, now +29.9%
2026-01-12 TAHL CINDY Chief Legal and Compliance Officer -$11,275.167 Transaction at $1.06, now +129.2%
2026-01-12 Valamehr Bahram President and CEO -$5,557.452 Transaction at $1.07, now +127.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Fate Therapeutics Inc (FATE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for FATE on Trend Edge →