EWTX — Edgewise Therapeutics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EWTX Bullish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 43, actionability 14. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability14 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Edgewise Therapeutics Inc

Edgewise Therapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers, develops, and commercializes therapies for the treatment of muscle disorders. Its lead product candidate, sevasemten, an orally administered small molecule that is in Phase II clinical trials, designed to address the root cause of dystrophinopathies including Duchenne muscular dystrophy and Becker muscular dystrophy. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$44.38
Market Cap$4.70B
Float74.3M
Shares Outstanding108.6M
vs. Analyst Target+16.5% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$51.69 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$17.1M -$185,000 -$17.0M
2021 N/A -$42.1M -$272,000 -$42.9M
2022 N/A -$15.4M -$538,000 -$21.5M
2023 N/A -$100M -$1.7M -$98.4M
2024 N/A -$134M -$2.3M -$132M
2025 N/A -$168M -$2.3M -$166M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$40.7M
Dec 2025 N/A -$50.2M
Mar 2026 N/A -$49.0M
Jun 2026 N/A -$57.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.5%
Institutional Ownership111.8%
Short Float13.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.56%
Number of Funds Holding225

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$42.17Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$33.03Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.82Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$32.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.63Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.86Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$18.30 support 1.01x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.99% -0.65% 30.43% 2.61% -13.00%
1 Day 1.82% -0.45% 47.83% 19.97% -8.35%
1 Week 3.52% 0.54% 52.17% 34.51% -12.97%
2 Weeks 2.38% -0.24% 47.83% 43.87% -23.29%
1 Month -1.77% -4.50% 45.45% 38.91% -46.81%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.09% 43.3% 254
Tuesday 0.24% 50.9% 281
Wednesday 0.62% 53.0% 279
Thursday 0.01% 47.4% 272
Friday -0.04% 48.5% 272

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 111.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.5%

Founder-led management: Alan Russel (Co-Founder, Chief Scientific Officer & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings14
Net Value-$16.7M
Net Shares Change36,931
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings12
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Russell Alan J Chief Scientific Officer -$3.8M 3 2 sell
Donovan Joanne M. CMO -$2.7M 3 N/A
KOCH KEVIN President and CEO -$785,041.57 1 N/A
Derakhshan Behrad Chief Business Officer -$223,423.86 1 N/A
MOORE JOHN R General Counsel -$219,822.689 1 N/A
Fox Jonathan C +$199,403.06 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-08-13 – 2026-08-14 5 5 -$1.9M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-11-13 Fox Jonathan C +$199,403.06 Transaction at $18.64, now +138.1%
2026-08-14 MOORE JOHN R General Counsel -$219,822.689 Transaction at $43.82, now +1.3%
2026-08-13 Russell Alan J Chief Scientific Officer -$258,042.469 Transaction at $43.73, now +1.5%
2026-08-13 KOCH KEVIN President and CEO -$785,041.57 Transaction at $43.68, now +1.6%
2026-08-13 Donovan Joanne M. CMO -$412,702.93 Transaction at $43.71, now +1.5%
2026-08-13 Derakhshan Behrad Chief Business Officer -$223,423.86 Transaction at $43.81, now +1.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Edgewise Therapeutics Inc (EWTX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EWTX on Trend Edge →