EL — Estee Lauder Companies Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Estee Lauder Companies Inc

The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products worldwide. The company offers skin care products, including moisturizers, serums, cleansers, toners, eye care, body care, exfoliators, acne care and oil correctors, facial masks, and sun care products; and makeup products, such as foundations, powders, concealers and setting sprays, lipsticks, lip liners and lip glosses, mascaras,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$90.87
Market Cap$28.55B
Float246.3M
Shares Outstanding247.3M
P/E (Forward)25.19
Price/Sales (TTM)1.92
vs. Analyst Target+4.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.67%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.93%
Revenue (TTM)$14.83B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-45.50%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$94.65 (25 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $14.29B $684M $10.74B $1.82B
2021 $16.21B $2.87B $12.38B $4.16B
2022 $17.74B $2.39B $13.43B $3.93B
2023 $15.91B $1.01B $11.35B $2.40B
2024 $15.61B $390M $11.18B $1.98B
2025 $14.29B -$1.13B $10.56B $193M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.41B -$546M
Sep 2025 $3.48B $47.0M
Dec 2025 $4.24B $162M
Mar 2026 $3.71B $89.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.6%
Institutional Ownership97.3%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding9.56%
Number of Funds Holding786

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$78.80Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$93.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$83.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$135.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$93.94Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$83.89Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$119.61Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$106.00 resistance 1.43x 1 months ago
$67.00 support 1.03x 10 months ago
$140.00 resistance 1.26x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.13% -0.10% 40.98% 7.16% -3.87%
1 Day 0.37% 0.28% 53.28% 13.03% -6.29%
1 Week 0.62% 0.01% 50.00% 19.55% -10.10%
2 Weeks 0.88% 0.29% 54.10% 20.11% -12.98%
1 Month 1.11% 1.29% 56.20% 34.54% -29.26%

Next earnings: July 20, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.6%54.8%31
Feb1.6%61.3%31
Mar1.7%71.0%31
Apr2.1%64.5%31
May-0.2%60.0%30
Jun1.6%50.0%30
Jul-1.1%36.7%30
Aug-0.5%40.0%30
Sep-2.6%43.3%30
Oct1.6%60.0%30
Nov3.3%66.7%30
Dec3.4%71.0%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 47.1% 1443
Tuesday 0.10% 50.3% 1578
Wednesday -0.02% 48.1% 1575
Thursday 0.11% 51.0% 1543
Friday 0.10% 50.9% 1538

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$1.9M
Net Shares Change-11,307,838
% of Float-4.6%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LAL 2015 ELF Trust -$509M 1 1 sell
Evelyn H. Lauder 2012 Marital Trust Two -$255M 1 1 sell
Leonard A. Lauder 2013 Revocable Trust -$250M 1 1 sell
La Lande Rashida Exec VP and General Counsel -$1.5M 2 2 sell
Webster Meridith Exec VP GlobalComm/PubAffairs -$476,971.2 1 1 sell
LAUDER JANE -$258,399.52 2 2 sell
STERNLICHT BARRY S -$29,710.56 1 1 sell
FORESTER LYNN -$4,250.1 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-25 – 2025-09-02 4 4 -$1.5M 1 C-suite
2025-11-07 – 2025-11-19 5 5 -$1.01B 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-01 La Lande Rashida Exec VP and General Counsel -$151,497.8 Transaction at $94.45, now -3.8%
2025-12-01 LAUDER JANE -$87,594.4 Transaction at $91.92, now -1.1%
2025-08-28 La Lande Rashida Executive VP and General Counsel -$1.3M Transaction at $91.63, now -0.8%
2025-11-19 Webster Meridith Exec VP GlobalComm/PubAffairs -$476,971.2 Transaction at $87.84, now +3.4%
2025-11-07 Leonard A. Lauder 2013 Revocable Trust -$250M Transaction at $89.70, now +1.3%
2025-11-07 LAL 2015 ELF Trust -$509M Transaction at $89.70, now +1.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EL on Trend Edge →