COTY — Coty Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Coty Inc

Coty Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells branded beauty products worldwide. It operates through two segments: the Prestige and Consumer Beauty. The company provides fragrance, color cosmetics, and skin and body care products. It offers prestige products through prestige retailers, including perfumeries, department stores, e-retailers, direct-to-consumer websites, and duty-free shops under the Burber… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.15
Market Cap$1.72B
Float375.6M
Shares Outstanding880.5M
P/E (Forward)6.09
Price/Sales (TTM)0.30
vs. Analyst Target+47.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-9.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.62%
Revenue (TTM)$5.79B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-22.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$3.17 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.72B -$1.01B $2.74B $184M
2021 $4.63B -$201M $2.78B $745M
2022 $5.30B $260M $3.38B $856M
2023 $5.55B $508M $3.55B $965M
2024 $6.12B $89.4M $3.94B $1.00B
2025 $5.89B -$368M $3.82B $950M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.25B -$68.8M
Sep 2025 $1.58B $67.9M
Dec 2025 $1.68B -$124M
Mar 2026 $1.28B -$408M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership59.9%
Institutional Ownership37.5%
Short Float11.2%
% of All Funds Holding3.70%
Number of Funds Holding304

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.22Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.09Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$4.39Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.89Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.10Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$4.54Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.85Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.10 support 1.00x 0 months ago
$3.10 resistance 1.24x 2 months ago
$4.70 resistance 1.60x 8 months ago
$7.10 resistance 1.76x 14 months ago
$9.30 resistance 1.42x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (52 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.51% 0.22% 57.69% 9.31% -21.81%
1 Day -1.81% -1.12% 32.69% 9.07% -21.60%
1 Week -0.45% -0.63% 46.15% 30.39% -32.01%
2 Weeks 0.09% -1.30% 42.31% 68.14% -23.83%
1 Month -0.37% -3.06% 45.10% 74.75% -34.24%

Next earnings: July 24, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.3%38.5%13
Feb5.8%61.5%13
Mar-3.7%38.5%13
Apr1.4%38.5%13
May-7.2%33.3%12
Jun7.4%66.7%12
Jul-4.5%30.8%13
Aug-3.1%38.5%13
Sep-6.7%23.1%13
Oct-2.1%46.2%13
Nov13.9%53.8%13
Dec-1.0%38.5%13

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 48.0% 611
Tuesday -0.06% 47.2% 672
Wednesday -0.10% 45.8% 666
Thursday -0.05% 46.2% 653
Friday 0.12% 50.5% 654

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 37.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 59.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value+$1.5M
Net Shares Change460,900
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings6
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Nabi Sue Chief Executive Officer +$1.0M 1 1 buy
von Bretten Gordon President - Consumer Beauty +$200,287.3 1 1 buy
Ballini Beatrice +$130,300 1 1 buy, 1 sell
Blazewicz Kristin Chief Legal Officer +$126,531.72 1 1 buy
Srinivasan Priya Chief People and Purpose Officer +$115,200 1 1 buy
Mercier Laurent Chief Financial Officer +$74,266.8 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-26 – 2025-09-03 4 4 +$1.3M 4 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-09 von Bretten Gordon President - Consumer Beauty +$200,287.3 Transaction at $2.41, now -10.9%
2026-02-18 Mercier Laurent Chief Financial Officer +$13,249.5 Transaction at $2.65, now -18.9%
2025-11-18 Ballini Beatrice +$130,300 Transaction at $8.59, now -75.0%
2025-08-26 Srinivasan Priya Chief People and Purpose Officer +$115,200 Transaction at $3.84, now -44.0%
2025-09-03 Blazewicz Kristin Chief Legal Officer +$126,531.72 Transaction at $4.30, now -50.0%
2025-08-28 Mercier Laurent Chief Financial Officer +$61,017.3 Transaction at $3.94, now -45.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Coty Inc (COTY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for COTY on Trend Edge →