EAT — Brinker International Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Brinker International Inc

Brinker International, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, develops, operates, and franchises casual dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates and franchises Chili's Grill & Bar and Maggiano's Little Italy restaurant brands. The company was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$140.02
Market Cap$5.86B
Float42.3M
Shares Outstanding42.9M
P/E (Forward)10.79
P/E (TTM)13.31
Price/Sales (TTM)1.02
vs. Analyst Target+32.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.07%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.41%
Revenue (TTM)$5.73B
Earnings Growth (YoY)12.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$186.10 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.08B $24.4M $409M $227M
2021 $3.34B $132M $503M $352M
2022 $3.80B $118M $499M $326M
2023 $4.13B $103M $500M $314M
2024 $4.42B $155M $627M $401M
2025 $5.38B $383M $982M $720M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.46B $107M
Sep 2025 $1.35B $99.5M
Dec 2025 $1.45B $129M
Mar 2026 $1.47B $128M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.2%
Institutional Ownership117.6%
Short Float12.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.38%
Number of Funds Holding442

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$143.18Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$142.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$147.31Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$86.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$142.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$146.88Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$97.34Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$108.00 support 1.13x 5 months ago
$54.00 support 1.17x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.00% 0.18% 54.55% 13.53% -26.23%
1 Day 0.10% 0.11% 51.24% 8.76% -27.87%
1 Week 0.47% 0.78% 56.20% 16.95% -25.41%
2 Weeks 1.59% 2.33% 60.33% 24.47% -32.69%
1 Month 2.54% 1.83% 55.00% 33.79% -39.66%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (75 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.2%57.1%42
Feb3.3%65.1%43
Mar2.2%58.1%43
Apr3.9%58.1%43
May0.9%45.2%42
Jun-1.8%50.0%42
Jul1.8%57.1%42
Aug0.0%40.5%42
Sep0.6%52.4%42
Oct-0.4%45.2%42
Nov4.2%69.0%42
Dec4.0%64.3%42

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.03% 46.4% 2017
Tuesday 0.09% 47.6% 2191
Wednesday 0.11% 48.9% 2187
Thursday 0.11% 47.5% 2147
Friday 0.07% 47.9% 2136

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 117.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings22
Net Value-$27.5M
Net Shares Change-195,626
% of Float-0.5%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Felix George S SVP, Chief Marketing Officer -$3.6M 2 2 sell
Comings Douglas N. SVP and COO, Chili's -$3.1M 2 2 sell
EDELMAN HARRIET -$1.3M 1 1 sell
White Aaron M EVP, COO and CPO -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Ware Michaela M EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$812,000 1 1 sell
Fuller Daniel S SVP, Chief Legal Officer -$466,180.98 1 1 sell
Allen Frances L. -$135,780 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-15 – 2025-08-28 5 5 -$10.4M 3 C-suite
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-12 9 9 -$16.4M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-18 Allen Frances L. -$135,780 Transaction at $135.78, now +3.1%
2026-02-05 White Aaron M EVP, COO and CPO -$1.2M Transaction at $165.00, now -15.1%
2026-02-04 Felix George S SVP, Chief Marketing Officer -$1.7M Transaction at $161.00, now -13.0%
2026-02-06 Ware Michaela M EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$812,000 Transaction at $162.40, now -13.8%
2026-02-10 Comings Douglas N. SVP and COO, Chili's -$222,924 Transaction at $171.48, now -18.3%
2026-02-10 Fuller Daniel S SVP, Chief Legal Officer -$466,180.98 Transaction at $103.07, now +35.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Brinker International Inc (EAT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EAT on Trend Edge →