DRI — Darden Restaurants Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DRI Bearish with a Setup Score of 14, net conviction 16, actionability 13. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score14
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction16
Actionability13 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Darden Restaurants Inc

Darden Restaurants, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates full-service restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates under Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Chuy's, Yard House, Ruth's Chris Steak House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Eddie V's Prime Seafood, Bahama Breeze, The Capital Burger, Darden and Darden Restaurants brand names. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$204.25
Market Cap$23.13B
Float113.8M
Shares Outstanding114.5M
P/E (Forward)17.86
P/E (TTM)19.27
Price/Sales (TTM)1.75
vs. Analyst Target+11.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.34%
Revenue (TTM)$13.21B
Earnings Growth (YoY)36.00%
Dividend Rate6.1%
Analyst Target Price$228.25 (31 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $7.20B $629M $1.49B $993M
2022 $9.63B $953M $2.00B $1.53B
2023 $10.49B $982M $2.11B $1.60B
2024 $11.39B $1.03B $2.43B $1.78B
2025 $12.08B $1.05B $2.64B $1.88B
2026 $13.21B $1.21B $9.17B $2.34B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Aug 2025 $3.04B $258M
Nov 2025 $3.10B $237M
Feb 2026 $3.35B $307M
May 2026 $3.72B $405M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership99.2%
Short Float6.1%
% of All Funds Holding11.70%
Number of Funds Holding962

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$204.49Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$196.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$199.16Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$172.06Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$196.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$199.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$179.04Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$212.00 resistance 1.26x 3 months ago
$185.00 support 1.16x 5 months ago
$176.00 support 1.22x 18 months ago
$148.00 support 1.13x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (124 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.42% 0.21% 58.06% 12.11% -12.71%
1 Day 0.37% 0.00% 49.19% 19.97% -21.30%
1 Week 1.42% 0.95% 56.45% 28.85% -24.38%
2 Weeks 1.29% 0.24% 52.03% 22.55% -29.58%
1 Month 2.02% 0.89% 52.03% 61.01% -29.04%

Next earnings: September 17, 2026 (67 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.5%58.1%31
Feb2.7%74.2%31
Mar3.8%71.0%31
Apr1.3%45.2%31
May0.5%51.6%31
Jun-0.5%43.8%32
Jul-0.6%48.4%31
Aug-0.5%48.4%31
Sep2.9%61.3%31
Oct0.1%48.4%31
Nov3.2%67.7%31
Dec2.8%67.7%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 50.1% 1474
Tuesday 0.02% 48.7% 1609
Wednesday 0.04% 48.2% 1609
Thursday 0.12% 49.8% 1577
Friday 0.10% 49.5% 1570

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 99.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings17
Net Value-$9.7M
Net Shares Change-33,615
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings15
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Burrowes Todd Group President -$1.5M 1 1 sell
Connelly Susan M. SVP, Chief Comm & PA Officer -$1.3M 2 2 sell
Vennam Rajesh SVP, CFO -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Milanes Douglas J. SVP, Chief Supply Chain Ofcr -$731,837.3 1 1 sell
SONSTEBY CHARLES M -$641,209.676 1 1 sell
Wilkerson John W. President Elect, Olive Garden -$480,954 1 1 sell
Simon William S -$475,838.68 1 1 sell
Williamson Laura B President, LongHorn Steakhouse -$343,867.577 1 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-16 5 5 -$3.8M 5 C-suite
2026-03-25 – 2026-04-08 3 3 -$899,667.549 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-08 Connelly Susan M. SVP, Chief Comm & PA Officer -$746,385.471 Transaction at $168.63, now +21.1%
2026-04-21 Milanes Douglas J. SVP, Chief Supply Chain Ofcr -$731,837.3 Transaction at $202.16, now +1.0%
2025-07-31 Williamson Laura B President, LongHorn Steakhouse -$343,867.577 Transaction at $204.67, now -0.2%
2026-01-16 Vennam Rajesh SVP, CFO -$1.1M Transaction at $169.18, now +20.7%
2026-01-14 Burrowes Todd Group President -$1.5M Transaction at $207.12, now -1.4%
2026-01-16 Wilkerson John W. President Elect, Olive Garden -$480,954 Transaction at $213.00, now -4.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DRI on Trend Edge →