DRI — Darden Restaurants Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DRI Bullish with a Setup Score of 54, net conviction 36, actionability 82. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score54
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction36
Actionability82 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Darden Restaurants Inc

Darden Restaurants, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates full-service restaurants in the United States and Canada. The company operates under Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen, Chuy's, Yard House, Ruth's Chris Steak House, The Capital Grille, Seasons 52, Eddie V's Prime Seafood, Bahama Breeze, The Capital Burger, Darden and Darden Restaurants brand names. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$197.66
Market Cap$22.69B
Float112.6M
Shares Outstanding113.1M
P/E (Forward)18.94
P/E (TTM)19.47
Price/Sales (TTM)1.70
vs. Analyst Target+18.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin8.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.85%
Revenue (TTM)$13.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-6.70%
Dividend Rate6.5%
Analyst Target Price$233.44 (27 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $7.20B $629M $1.49B $993M
2022 $9.63B $953M $2.00B $1.53B
2023 $10.49B $982M $2.11B $1.60B
2024 $11.39B $1.03B $2.43B $1.78B
2025 $12.08B $1.05B $2.64B $1.88B
2026 $13.21B $1.21B $9.17B $2.34B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Nov 2025 $3.10B $237M
Feb 2026 $3.35B $307M
May 2026 $3.72B $405M
Aug 2026 $3.20B $233M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership101.7%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding12.27%
Number of Funds Holding1,079

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$211.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$205.54Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$201.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$176.73Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$202.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$200.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$182.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$185.00 support 1.16x 8 months ago
$176.00 support 1.22x 21 months ago
$148.00 support 1.13x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.40% 0.21% 57.60% 12.11% -12.71%
1 Day 0.33% 0.00% 48.80% 19.97% -21.30%
1 Week 1.39% 0.92% 56.00% 28.85% -24.38%
2 Weeks 1.18% 0.23% 51.20% 22.55% -29.58%
1 Month 2.01% 0.89% 51.61% 61.01% -29.04%

Next earnings: December 13, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.5%58.1%31
Feb2.7%74.2%31
Mar3.8%71.0%31
Apr1.3%45.2%31
May0.5%51.6%31
Jun-0.5%43.8%32
Jul-0.6%46.9%32
Aug-0.3%50.0%32
Sep2.5%59.4%32
Oct0.1%48.4%31
Nov3.2%67.7%31
Dec2.8%67.7%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.07% 50.2% 1486
Tuesday 0.02% 48.6% 1622
Wednesday 0.05% 48.3% 1622
Thursday 0.12% 49.7% 1590
Friday 0.10% 49.7% 1583

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings20
Net Value-$17.8M
Net Shares Change-76,696
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings18
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Cardenas Ricardo President and CEO -$5.8M 1 1 sell
Vennam Rajesh SVP, CFO -$2.8M 2 2 sell
Connelly Susan M. SVP, Chief Comm & PA Officer -$1.2M 2 2 sell
Wilkerson John W. President, Olive Garden -$1.1M 1 1 sell
King Sarah H. SVP, Chief People Officer -$920,164.911 1 1 sell
Milanes Douglas J. SVP, Chief Supply Chain Ofcr -$731,837.3 1 1 sell
Martin Melvin John Group President -$447,565.49 1 1 sell
Williamson Laura B President, LongHorn Steakhouse -$317,560.4 1 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-06 – 2026-01-16 5 5 -$3.8M 5 C-suite
2026-03-25 – 2026-04-08 3 3 -$899,667.549 2 C-suite
2026-07-30 – 2026-08-06 6 6 -$10.3M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-04 Williamson Laura B President, LongHorn Steakhouse -$317,560.4 Transaction at $204.61, now -3.4%
2026-10-08 Martin Melvin John Group President -$447,565.49 Transaction at $202.61, now -2.4%
2026-07-30 Cardenas Ricardo President and CEO -$5.8M Transaction at $166.65, now +18.6%
2026-08-06 Wilkerson John W. President, Olive Garden -$1.1M Transaction at $166.28, now +18.9%
2026-07-30 Vennam Rajesh SVP, CFO -$1.8M Transaction at $210.00, now -5.9%
2026-07-30 Connelly Susan M. SVP, Chief Comm & PA Officer -$463,388.646 Transaction at $208.17, now -5.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DRI on Trend Edge →