DNLI — Denali Therapeutics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DNLI Bullish with a Setup Score of 58, net conviction 38, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score58
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Denali Therapeutics Inc

Denali Therapeutics Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops therapeutics to treat neurodegenerative and lysosomal storage diseases. The company develops Eclitasertib (SAR443122/DNL758) RIPK1 inhibitor program for peripheral inflammatory diseases; BIIB122/DNL151 LRRK2 inhibitor program for Parkinson's disease; TAK-594/DNL593 program for frontotemporal dementia-granulin; DNL126 program for MPS IIIA (Sanfilippo Syndrome A); and DNL… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$24.93
Market Cap$3.99B
Float155.1M
Shares Outstanding159.8M
Price/Sales (TTM)1,106.60
vs. Analyst Target+42.1% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-3601.30%
Revenue (TTM)$3.6M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$35.44 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $336M $71.1M $336M $71.2M
2021 $48.7M -$291M $48.7M -$287M
2022 $108M -$326M $108M -$316M
2023 $331M -$145M $331M -$128M
2024 N/A -$423M -$7.8M -$493M
2025 N/A -$513M -$11.2M -$498M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 N/A -$127M
Dec 2025 N/A -$129M
Mar 2026 N/A -$128M
Jun 2026 $3.6M -$128M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.1%
Institutional Ownership101.3%
Short Float11.2%
% of All Funds Holding3.30%
Number of Funds Holding290

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$24.56Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$20.77Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$17.84Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.49Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.15Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.56Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$20.80 support 1.17x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.14% 0.10% 51.43% 9.58% -5.61%
1 Day -1.07% -1.38% 42.86% 13.97% -15.06%
1 Week -1.49% -3.59% 28.57% 24.68% -18.83%
2 Weeks -1.11% -3.97% 40.00% 24.91% -18.55%
1 Month 0.95% 0.13% 50.00% 46.03% -33.92%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan6.9%55.6%9
Feb-2.3%33.3%9
Mar-8.8%22.2%9
Apr0.8%55.6%9
May5.6%77.8%9
Jun7.8%66.7%9
Jul-5.3%33.3%9
Aug6.7%62.5%8
Sep2.2%50.0%8
Oct-3.7%37.5%8
Nov13.7%62.5%8
Dec1.1%37.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 46.1% 410
Tuesday 0.33% 52.3% 451
Wednesday 0.34% 51.5% 447
Thursday -0.25% 44.3% 440
Friday 0.02% 47.5% 438

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.1%

Founder-led management: Ryan Watts (Co-Founder, President, CEO & Director), Alexander Schuth (Co-Founder, CFO, COO & Secretary)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$936,488.99
Net Shares Change-55,273
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Watts Ryan J. President and CEO -$580,767 1 1 sell
Schuth Alexander O. COFO and Secretary -$355,721.99 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-13 Schuth Alexander O. COFO and Secretary -$71,624.99 Transaction at $25.07, now -0.6%
2026-01-08 Schuth Alexander O. COFO and Secretary -$284,097 Transaction at $16.50, now +51.1%
2026-01-08 Watts Ryan J. President and CEO -$580,767 Transaction at $16.50, now +51.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Denali Therapeutics Inc (DNLI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DNLI on Trend Edge →