Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates DCOY Bearish with a Setup Score of 50, net conviction 46, actionability 54. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
50
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
46
Actionability
54 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 7.44 vs px 3.58)
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 66.45 vs px 3.58)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 826 vs px 3.58)
Short Attack — velZ +0.64 · age 5w×1.00 · 4.54%
Seasonal Headwind — september med -10.2% (mag 2/3) · posClose 9.09% (rel 2/3) · n11 ×1 = 11
Earnings Headwind — ER in 0d · w1 med -5.3% (mag 2/3) · winRate 34.8% (rel 2/3) · n46
About Decoy Therapeutics Inc.
Decoy Therapeutics Inc. operates as a pre-clinical stage biotechnology company. It focuses on advancing the peptide conjugate therapeutics through its Immediate Peptide/PPMO/P-PROTAC Alpha-helical Conjugate Technology (IMP3ACT) platform that leverages peptide coiled-coils chemistry and physics to design a-helical peptides through computational and ML tools. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Biotechnology
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: January 7, 2026
Headquarters: 2450 Holcombe Blvd, Houston, TX, United States, 77021
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Peter Marschel (Chief Business Officer)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$3.67
Market Cap
$1.9M
Float
528K
Shares Outstanding
532K
P/E (TTM)
0.03
Price/Sales (TTM)
15.86
Dividend Rate
None
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$5.2M
-$7.4M
$5.2M
-$7.6M
2021
$1.8M
-$12.8M
$1.8M
-$12.7M
2022
N/A
-$31.6M
-$6,677
-$23.0M
2023
N/A
-$12.5M
-$10,051
-$12.5M
2024
N/A
-$5.6M
-$4,424
-$5.6M
2025
N/A
-$12.5M
-$8.5M
-$12.5M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
N/A
-$873,467
Dec 2025
N/A
-$9.0M
Mar 2026
N/A
-$2.2M
Jun 2026
N/A
-$2.4M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
0.5%
Institutional Ownership
10.8%
Short Float
4.5%
% of All Funds Holding
0.05%
Number of Funds Holding
4
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$5.08
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$7.18
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$62.33
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$810.87
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$7.30
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$75.02
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$465.48
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$9.30
resistance
3.73x
1 months ago
$46.00
resistance
7.84x
8 months ago
$66.00
resistance
1.96x
10 months ago
$120.00
resistance
1.11x
11 months ago
$156.00
resistance
3.32x
12 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (47 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.04%
0.00%
48.94%
11.52%
-14.41%
1 Day
-2.93%
-2.90%
23.40%
22.57%
-26.60%
1 Week
-1.40%
-5.31%
30.43%
57.60%
-26.54%
2 Weeks
-0.40%
-4.21%
36.96%
57.68%
-34.57%
1 Month
0.31%
-2.68%
45.65%
108.33%
-50.19%
Next earnings: August 11, 2026
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
3.2%
45.5%
11
Feb
-5.4%
33.3%
12
Mar
-1.6%
41.7%
12
Apr
-7.4%
16.7%
12
May
3.5%
58.3%
12
Jun
-5.9%
50.0%
12
Jul
-16.1%
25.0%
12
Aug
-11.2%
27.3%
11
Sep
-12.6%
9.1%
11
Oct
-12.8%
36.4%
11
Nov
-6.2%
36.4%
11
Dec
-7.2%
27.3%
11
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.13%
43.0%
544
Tuesday
-0.21%
41.8%
598
Wednesday
-0.78%
41.0%
595
Thursday
0.11%
42.2%
585
Friday
-0.31%
44.8%
581
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 10.8%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.5%
Founder-led management: Peter Marschel (Chief Business Officer)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Decoy Therapeutics Inc.
(DCOY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.