Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Casella Waste Systems Inc
Casella Waste Systems, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a vertically integrated solid waste services company in the United States. The company offers resource management expertise and services primarily in the areas of solid waste collection and disposal, transfer, recycling and organics services to residential, commercial, municipal, institutional, and industrial customers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Waste Management
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: October 28, 1997
Headquarters: 25 Green Hill Lane, Rutland, VT, United States, 05701
Founder-Led: Yes — John W. Casella (Executive Chairman)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$87.41
Market Cap
$5.55B
Float
62.2M
Shares Outstanding
62.6M
P/E (Forward)
88.50
P/E (TTM)
792.91
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.96
vs. Analyst Target
+28.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
0.38%
Operating Margin (TTM)
2.69%
Revenue (TTM)
$1.88B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
60.20%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$112.00 (11 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$775M
$91.1M
$168M
$155M
2021
$889M
$41.1M
$203M
$209M
2022
$1.09B
$53.1M
$236M
$248M
2023
$1.26B
$25.4M
$262M
$274M
2024
$1.56B
$13.5M
$295M
$322M
2025
$1.84B
$7.9M
$313M
$394M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$465M
$5.2M
Sep 2025
$485M
$10.0M
Dec 2025
$469M
-$2.5M
Mar 2026
$457M
-$5.5M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
0.6%
Institutional Ownership
122.3%
Short Float
6.4%
% of All Funds Holding
4.60%
Number of Funds Holding
378
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$83.31
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$92.33
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$101.57
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$93.31
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$91.64
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$101.16
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$95.15
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$91.00
resistance
1.38x
1 months ago
$101.00
resistance
1.13x
2 months ago
$107.00
resistance
1.49x
8 months ago
$114.00
resistance
1.06x
9 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (113 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.23%
0.00%
48.67%
12.57%
-16.10%
1 Day
-0.42%
-0.51%
45.13%
13.13%
-25.29%
1 Week
-0.18%
0.48%
52.21%
37.60%
-68.39%
2 Weeks
0.75%
1.91%
56.64%
51.46%
-40.70%
1 Month
2.95%
3.02%
61.61%
100.00%
-28.21%
Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (53 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-3.0%
48.3%
29
Feb
-4.8%
37.9%
29
Mar
3.7%
58.6%
29
Apr
3.0%
55.2%
29
May
1.6%
53.6%
28
Jun
1.9%
64.3%
28
Jul
4.8%
75.0%
28
Aug
-2.8%
46.4%
28
Sep
-0.4%
39.3%
28
Oct
-0.0%
57.1%
28
Nov
5.1%
65.5%
29
Dec
8.5%
58.6%
29
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.02%
48.3%
1349
Tuesday
0.21%
49.6%
1474
Wednesday
0.06%
48.0%
1474
Thursday
0.16%
49.8%
1444
Friday
-0.02%
49.7%
1439
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 122.3%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.6%
Founder-led management: John W. Casella (Executive Chairman)
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