CTRN — Citi Trends Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CTRN Bullish with a Setup Score of 16, net conviction 30, actionability 9. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score16
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction30
Actionability9 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Citi Trends Inc

Citi Trends, Inc. operates as a value retailer of apparel, accessories, and home trends. The company offers apparel for juniors, missy, and plus size, including trend right sportswear, outerwear, sleepwear, lingerie, and scrubs for women; basics, fashion, and trends for boys up to size 20 and girls up to size 16, as well as sizes for newborns, infants, and toddlers; children's uniforms, accessories, and sleepwear; and apparel for men and big men,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$57.72
Market Cap$468M
Float4.9M
Shares Outstanding8.3M
P/E (Forward)3.64
P/E (TTM)39.89
Price/Sales (TTM)0.57
vs. Analyst Target+26.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.42%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.20%
Revenue (TTM)$849M
Earnings Growth (YoY)739.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$73.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $783M $24.0M $312M $51.4M
2022 $992M $62.2M $408M $99.9M
2023 $795M $58.9M $311M $96.9M
2024 $748M -$12.0M $285M $3.4M
2025 $753M -$43.2M $282M -$18.2M
2026 $820M $5.2M $306M $11.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $191M $3.8M
Oct 2025 $197M -$6.9M
Jan 2026 $230M $7.4M
Apr 2026 $231M $7.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.8%
Institutional Ownership89.9%
Short Float17.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.51%
Number of Funds Holding124

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$50.27Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$45.13Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$36.38Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$28.06Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$46.68Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$37.26Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$29.42Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$46.00 support 2.01x 0 months ago
$35.50 support 1.02x 7 months ago
$31.20 support 1.06x 8 months ago
$26.50 support 1.56x 12 months ago
$14.50 support 1.40x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (85 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.31% -0.12% 42.35% 15.96% -23.74%
1 Day -0.41% 0.39% 51.76% 23.97% -30.23%
1 Week -1.40% -0.46% 48.24% 23.97% -44.59%
2 Weeks -1.51% -1.29% 47.06% 40.53% -41.80%
1 Month 1.99% 1.33% 54.76% 44.41% -41.41%

Next earnings: August 25, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-4.4%38.1%21
Feb1.9%52.4%21
Mar1.1%47.6%21
Apr3.5%57.1%21
May1.9%57.1%21
Jun4.5%63.6%22
Jul-0.5%42.9%21
Aug-3.1%52.4%21
Sep1.3%61.9%21
Oct4.6%61.9%21
Nov4.2%66.7%21
Dec7.6%66.7%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.19% 52.2% 995
Tuesday 0.24% 49.4% 1091
Wednesday -0.02% 51.1% 1091
Thursday 0.11% 50.2% 1071
Friday -0.06% 46.7% 1066

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$31,772.4
Net Shares Change-752,766
% of Float-15.3%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Fund 1 Investments, LLC -$42.4M 1 1 sell
JENKINS MARGARET L -$128,030 2 2 sell
Heath David A +$44,500 1 1 buy
George Katrina VP of Human Resources -$31,772.4 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-24 Fund 1 Investments, LLC -$42.4M Transaction at $56.50, now +2.2%
2026-03-26 Heath David A +$44,500 Transaction at $44.50, now +29.7%
2026-04-07 JENKINS MARGARET L -$91,820 Transaction at $45.91, now +25.7%
2026-01-06 George Katrina VP of Human Resources -$20,349 Transaction at $45.22, now +27.6%
2025-09-05 George Katrina VP of Human Resources -$11,423.4 Transaction at $36.15, now +59.7%
2025-09-05 JENKINS MARGARET L -$36,210 Transaction at $36.21, now +59.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CTRN on Trend Edge →