CPSS — Consumer Portfolio Services Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CPSS Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 50, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction50
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Consumer Portfolio Services Inc

Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. operates as a specialty finance company in the United States. It is involved in the purchase and service of retail automobile contracts originated by franchised automobile dealers and select independent dealers in the sale of new and used automobiles, light trucks, and passenger vans. The company, through its automobile contract purchases, offers indirect financing to the customers of dealers with limited credit … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.16
Market Cap$200M
Float8.6M
Shares Outstanding21.6M
P/E (Forward)5.21
P/E (TTM)10.18
Price/Sales (TTM)0.94
vs. Analyst Target+52.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)15.81%
Revenue (TTM)$212M
Earnings Growth (YoY)35.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $271M $21.7M $156M $21.9M
2021 $268M $47.5M $207M $67.4M
2022 $330M $86.0M $270M $118M
2023 $352M $45.3M $228M $61.9M
2024 $394M $19.2M $208M $28.3M
2025 $428M $19.3M $426M $260M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $108M $4.9M
Dec 2025 $109M $5.0M
Mar 2026 $112M $5.5M
Jun 2026 -$112M $6.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership31.6%
Institutional Ownership46.4%
Short Float1.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.70%
Number of Funds Holding62

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.87Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.34Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.91Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.98Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.31Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.70 support 1.09x 3 months ago
$7.60 support 1.43x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (119 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.16% 0.00% 43.70% 13.33% -16.00%
1 Day 0.00% 0.00% 45.38% 31.16% -25.00%
1 Week -0.07% -0.47% 46.22% 30.00% -28.91%
2 Weeks 0.26% -0.72% 45.38% 57.57% -39.62%
1 Month 0.90% 0.08% 50.00% 106.38% -44.23%

Next earnings: October 23, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan5.1%58.8%34
Feb0.8%47.1%34
Mar-1.6%35.3%34
Apr6.3%55.9%34
May3.0%47.1%34
Jun-2.4%50.0%34
Jul3.3%44.1%34
Aug-2.3%36.4%33
Sep4.1%57.6%33
Oct2.3%51.5%33
Nov4.4%50.0%34
Dec2.4%50.0%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.11% 42.1% 1602
Tuesday 0.19% 44.1% 1749
Wednesday 0.16% 45.4% 1747
Thursday 0.25% 44.5% 1713
Friday 0.20% 43.1% 1704

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 46.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 31.6%

Founder-led management: Charles E. Bradley Jr. (CEO & Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings7
Net Value-$146,633.482
Net Shares Change-225,000
% of Float-2.6%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ROBERTS WILLIAM B -$1.7M 2 2 sell
WOOD DANIEL S -$150,600 1 1 sell
Jackson Noel Sr. Vice President -$99,133.482 2 2 sell
Ralston Catrina Marie Sr. Vice President -$47,500 2 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-14 Ralston Catrina Marie Sr. Vice President -$34,361.5 Transaction at $9.50, now -3.6%
2026-08-11 Ralston Catrina Marie Sr. Vice President -$13,138.5 Transaction at $9.50, now -3.6%
2026-06-17 Jackson Noel Sr. Vice President -$42,696.5 Transaction at $6.58, now +39.2%
2026-03-17 WOOD DANIEL S -$150,600 Transaction at $7.53, now +21.6%
2025-12-08 ROBERTS WILLIAM B -$869,000 Transaction at $8.69, now +5.4%
2025-09-17 ROBERTS WILLIAM B -$862,000 Transaction at $8.62, now +6.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Consumer Portfolio Services Inc (CPSS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CPSS on Trend Edge →