CPA — Copa Holdings SA

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Copa Holdings SA

Copa Holdings, S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides airline passenger, and cargo and mail transportation services in North America, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean. As of December 31, 2025, it operated through a fleet of 125 aircraft. The company was founded in 1947 and is based in Panama City, Panama. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$137.00
Market Cap$5.59B
Float28.2M
Shares Outstanding29.9M
P/E (Forward)9.13
P/E (TTM)7.90
Price/Sales (TTM)1.48
vs. Analyst Target+19.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin18.76%
Operating Margin (TTM)24.58%
Revenue (TTM)$3.77B
Earnings Growth (YoY)20.50%
Dividend Rate6.8%
Analyst Target Price$164.13 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $801M -$607M -$75.5M -$298M
2021 $1.51B $43.8M $364M $371M
2022 $2.97B $348M $898M $744M
2023 $3.46B $514M $1.27B $1.08B
2024 $3.45B $608M $1.23B $1.12B
2025 $3.62B $672M $1.29B $1.24B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $843M $149M
Sep 2025 $913M $173M
Dec 2025 $963M $173M
Mar 2026 $1.05B $212M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.4%
Institutional Ownership97.3%
Short Float6.3%
% of All Funds Holding3.36%
Number of Funds Holding276

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$120.49Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$124.37Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$111.11Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$100.13Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$124.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$111.12Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$104.03Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$116.00 support 1.02x 0 months ago
$93.00 support 1.25x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (82 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.02% 50.00% 11.03% -11.42%
1 Day 0.27% 0.07% 52.44% 17.92% -15.61%
1 Week 0.02% -0.33% 45.12% 21.86% -27.09%
2 Weeks -1.07% -1.50% 43.21% 28.31% -31.19%
1 Month -1.28% -0.67% 48.15% 30.25% -63.66%

Next earnings: May 13, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.0%61.9%21
Feb1.7%57.1%21
Mar-1.5%42.9%21
Apr0.8%52.4%21
May0.0%55.0%20
Jun-0.4%45.0%20
Jul2.3%60.0%20
Aug0.1%60.0%20
Sep-1.5%50.0%20
Oct1.8%55.0%20
Nov6.1%60.0%20
Dec3.4%55.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.05% 47.2% 962
Tuesday 0.17% 51.0% 1054
Wednesday 0.02% 49.4% 1054
Thursday 0.17% 52.8% 1034
Friday 0.05% 49.8% 1031

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.4%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Copa Holdings SA (CPA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CPA on Trend Edge →