Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Capital One Financial Corporation
Capital One Financial Corporation operates as the financial services holding company for the Capital One, National Association, which engages in the provision of various financial products and services in the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking. The company accepts checking accounts, money market deposits, negotiable order of withdrawals, savings … Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Financial Services
Industry: Credit Services
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: November 15, 1994
Headquarters: 1680 Capital One Drive, McLean, VA, United States, 22102
Founder-Led: Yes — Richard Fairbank (Founder, Chairman, CEO & President)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$186.42
Market Cap
$116.16B
Float
609.5M
Shares Outstanding
622.3M
P/E (Forward)
9.53
P/E (TTM)
57.43
Price/Sales (TTM)
3.20
vs. Analyst Target
+36.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
8.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)
28.59%
Revenue (TTM)
$36.31B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.20%
Dividend Rate
3.2%
Analyst Target Price
$255.19 (23 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$31.64B
$2.71B
$18.26B
$6.70B
2021
$32.03B
$12.39B
$32.38B
$19.29B
2022
$38.37B
$7.36B
$28.40B
$12.45B
2023
$49.48B
$4.89B
$26.36B
$9.27B
2024
$53.94B
$4.75B
$27.40B
$9.15B
2025
$69.25B
$2.45B
$32.78B
$7.54B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$16.41B
-$4.28B
Sep 2025
$19.82B
$3.19B
Dec 2025
$19.61B
$2.13B
Mar 2026
$19.32B
$2.17B
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
1.9%
Institutional Ownership
86.6%
Short Float
1.3%
% of All Funds Holding
23.51%
Number of Funds Holding
1,932
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$189.16
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$211.57
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$201.94
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$152.32
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$209.59
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$200.49
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$161.90
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$218.00
resistance
1.17x
2 months ago
$244.00
resistance
1.41x
3 months ago
$163.00
support
1.32x
17 months ago
$150.00
support
1.14x
18 months ago
$139.00
support
1.08x
21 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.53%
0.12%
53.72%
13.61%
-33.79%
1 Day
0.05%
1.38%
57.85%
13.03%
-39.76%
1 Week
0.26%
0.17%
51.24%
28.60%
-34.17%
2 Weeks
1.31%
0.51%
52.89%
48.77%
-37.35%
1 Month
1.09%
0.69%
52.50%
45.65%
-44.07%
Next earnings: July 21, 2026 (54 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.6%
59.4%
32
Feb
-1.3%
43.8%
32
Mar
1.7%
59.4%
32
Apr
5.6%
62.5%
32
May
2.9%
67.7%
31
Jun
-0.1%
48.4%
31
Jul
2.0%
67.7%
31
Aug
-0.9%
48.4%
31
Sep
1.9%
58.1%
31
Oct
1.0%
54.8%
31
Nov
2.4%
51.6%
31
Dec
2.2%
59.4%
32
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.01%
51.9%
1490
Tuesday
0.10%
49.8%
1628
Wednesday
0.08%
50.4%
1627
Thursday
0.09%
49.7%
1595
Friday
0.16%
51.4%
1590
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 86.6%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 1.9%
Founder-led management: Richard Fairbank (Founder, Chairman, CEO & President)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Capital One Financial Corporation
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
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AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.