CNTB — Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CNTB Bullish with a Setup Score of 73, net conviction 56, actionability 95. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score73
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction56
Actionability95 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd

Connect Biopharma Holdings Limited operates as a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company in the United States. It develops rademikibart, a human monoclonal IgG4 antibody directed against IL-4Ra in two Phase 2 trials for the treatment of acute exacerbations of asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.51
Market Cap$167M
Float18.9M
Shares Outstanding63.0M
P/E (Forward)0.77
Price/Sales (TTM)718.81
vs. Analyst Target+183.9% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-11601.78%
Revenue (TTM)$233,000
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.13 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$119M N/A -$118M
2021 N/A -$202M N/A -$201M
2022 N/A -$118M -$1.0M -$117M
2023 N/A -$62.1M -$988,000 -$61.3M
2024 $26.0M -$15.6M $26.0M -$14.7M
2025 $64,000 -$55.5M $64,000 -$54.6M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $48,000 -$12.9M
Sep 2025 $16,000 -$17.2M
Dec 2025 $16,000 -$15.1M
Mar 2026 $169,000 -$19.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership31.8%
Institutional Ownership55.6%
Short Float5.6%
% of All Funds Holding0.41%
Number of Funds Holding34

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.30Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.41Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.79Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.47Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.84Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.80 support 3.51x 7 months ago
$1.10 support 3.21x 11 months ago
$0.70 support 5.25x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (7 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.90% -0.42% 42.86% 14.55% -3.73%
1 Day 0.13% 3.30% 71.43% 4.35% -8.90%
1 Week 9.73% 3.85% 57.14% 95.65% -26.69%
2 Weeks 15.99% 12.65% 57.14% 74.53% -25.42%
1 Month 18.59% 26.03% 66.67% 50.00% -31.78%

Next earnings: August 12, 2026 (30 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.12% 44.4% 248
Tuesday 0.04% 44.0% 275
Wednesday 0.19% 45.4% 273
Thursday -0.20% 45.5% 266
Friday 0.60% 45.1% 266

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 55.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 31.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change1,310,000
% of Float6.9%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Huang James +$4.4M 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-02 Huang James +$371,610 Transaction at $2.48, now +1.3%
2026-04-01 Huang James +$4.0M Transaction at $3.45, now -27.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd (CNTB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CNTB on Trend Edge →