CMTV — Community Bancorp. Common Stock

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CMTV Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 33, actionability 50. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability50 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Community Bancorp. Common Stock

Community Bancorp. operates as the bank holding company for Community National Bank that provides various financial services to individuals, businesses, nonprofit organizations, and municipalities in northern and central Vermont. The company offers financing for commercial business properties, equipment, inventories, and accounts receivable, as well as standby letters of credit; and business checking and other deposit accounts, cash management se… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$40.49
Market Cap$227M
Float4.8M
Shares Outstanding5.6M
P/E (Forward)13.89
P/E (TTM)12.50
Price/Sales (TTM)4.51
Profit Margin36.65%
Operating Margin (TTM)44.19%
Revenue (TTM)$50.3M
Earnings Growth (YoY)16.60%
Dividend Rate1.0%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $38.9M $10.8M $32.5M $13.9M
2021 $40.2M $13.1M $36.5M $17.2M
2022 $43.2M $13.7M $38.2M $18.0M
2023 $52.0M $13.4M $37.8M $17.4M
2024 $59.6M $12.8M $38.1M $16.2M
2025 $68.8M $17.0M $47.4M $21.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $16.7M $4.7M
Dec 2025 $17.7M $4.6M
Mar 2026 $17.8M $4.4M
Jun 2026 $16.0M $4.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership11.5%
Institutional Ownership34.5%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.55%
Number of Funds Holding48

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$40.32Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$35.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$28.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.76Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$35.36Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$27.90Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.36Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$37.00 support 2.98x 2 months ago
$33.70 support 2.27x 4 months ago
$24.90 support 2.62x 7 months ago
$20.00 support 1.40x 13 months ago
$18.50 support 2.08x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (64 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.00% 25.00% 3.88% -2.56%
1 Day 0.32% 0.00% 26.56% 7.56% -5.13%
1 Week 1.21% 0.84% 59.38% 14.29% -10.28%
2 Weeks 1.75% 1.00% 57.81% 18.42% -7.49%
1 Month 1.92% 1.00% 61.90% 25.00% -10.45%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%44.4%27
Feb2.0%55.6%27
Mar1.4%60.7%28
Apr0.7%39.3%28
May-0.1%57.1%28
Jun0.2%39.3%28
Jul2.2%64.3%28
Aug-0.8%42.9%28
Sep-2.4%22.2%27
Oct0.7%44.4%27
Nov1.0%55.6%27
Dec0.8%55.6%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 22.3% 1302
Tuesday 0.13% 22.1% 1425
Wednesday -0.12% 21.8% 1425
Thursday 0.05% 21.6% 1398
Friday 0.15% 20.9% 1391

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 34.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 11.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value+$119,340.5
Net Shares Change16,298
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Conant Aminta K +$126,000 1 1 buy
Lamberton Wayne +$108,712 2 2 buy
Marvin Emma +$100,750 1 1 buy
Caldwell Christopher L. Pres/CEO/Dir of Company & Bank +$67,070 2 2 buy
BONVECHIO LOUISE M Executive VP & CFO +$49,976.5 1 1 buy
Laforce David +$31,243.235 1 1 buy
Martin Carol +$2,592 1 1 buy
Brainard Nikole PAO-Controller +$2,294 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-02 – 2026-01-16 3 3 +$11,603.437 1 C-suite
2026-02-02 – 2026-02-13 5 5 +$336,626 1 C-suite
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-17 4 4 +$88,229.734 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-06 Caldwell Christopher L. Pres/CEO/Dir of Company & Bank +$35,299 Transaction at $35.30, now +14.7%
2026-04-06 Lamberton Wayne +$46,332 Transaction at $34.32, now +18.0%
2026-03-12 BONVECHIO LOUISE M Executive VP & CFO +$49,976.5 Transaction at $32.75, now +23.6%
2026-06-05 Martin Carol +$2,592 Transaction at $36.00, now +12.5%
2026-02-02 Caldwell Christopher L. Pres/CEO/Dir of Company & Bank +$31,771 Transaction at $31.77, now +27.4%
2026-01-16 Brainard Nikole PAO-Controller +$2,294 Transaction at $22.94, now +76.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Community Bancorp. Common Stock (CMTV) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CMTV on Trend Edge →