CGON — CG Oncology, Inc. Common stock

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CGON Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 25, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction25
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About CG Oncology, Inc. Common stock

CG Oncology, Inc., a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company, develops and commercializes cretostimogene grenadenorepvec for patients with bladder cancer in the United States. The company's product candidate is cretostimogene, an investigational oncolytic immunotherapy, which is in phase 2 clinical trials of cretostimogene in patients with high-risk NMIBC after BCG failure; a phase 3 clinical trials to evaluate the safety and efficacy of cr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$78.95
Market Cap$6.88B
Float64.7M
Shares Outstanding88.6M
Price/Sales (TTM)1,104.59
vs. Analyst Target+15.4% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-7467.68%
Revenue (TTM)$6.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$91.08 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $10.4M -$12.8M $10.3M -$12.4M
2022 $191,000 -$35.4M $176,000 -$35.4M
2023 $204,000 -$48.6M -$45.5M -$48.6M
2024 $1.1M -$88.0M -$81.0M -$88.0M
2025 $4.0M -$161M -$607,000 -$160M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.7M -$43.8M
Dec 2025 $2.3M -$41.3M
Mar 2026 $1.1M -$60.2M
Jun 2026 $1.2M -$79.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.2%
Institutional Ownership113.8%
Short Float18.3%
% of All Funds Holding2.60%
Number of Funds Holding229

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$73.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$61.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$45.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$61.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$45.56Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$62.00 support 1.13x 1 months ago
$58.00 support 1.65x 4 months ago
$42.00 support 1.29x 6 months ago
$26.80 support 1.22x 10 months ago
$24.40 support 2.45x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (11 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.07% -0.03% 45.45% 1.51% -2.87%
1 Day -1.89% -0.43% 36.36% 1.17% -7.31%
1 Week -3.37% 0.24% 54.55% 8.44% -35.96%
2 Weeks 0.20% 2.29% 63.64% 12.07% -24.07%
1 Month 4.04% 5.15% 70.00% 33.44% -21.01%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.06% 45.6% 125
Tuesday -0.53% 44.8% 134
Wednesday 0.64% 55.0% 131
Thursday 0.26% 51.2% 127
Friday 0.55% 48.8% 129

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 113.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings22
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change1,786,236
% of Float2.8%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Liu Brian Guan-Chyun +$74.8M 2 N/A
Song Hong Fang -$2.8M 1 N/A
Mulay James -$1.3M 2 N/A
POST LEONARD E -$867,410 5 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-09-04 – 2025-09-16 5 4 +$46.3M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-29 Liu Brian Guan-Chyun +$24.8M Transaction at $66.87, now +18.1%
2025-09-12 Liu Brian Guan-Chyun +$50.0M Transaction at $33.00, now +139.2%
2026-07-14 Mulay James -$1.2M Transaction at $50.89, now +55.1%
2025-09-04 Song Hong Fang -$2.8M Transaction at $27.80, now +184.0%
2026-08-18 POST LEONARD E -$73,940 Transaction at $37.57, now +110.1%
2026-07-17 POST LEONARD E -$70,570 Transaction at $35.88, now +120.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for CG Oncology, Inc. Common stock (CGON) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CGON on Trend Edge →