Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates CATO Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 39, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 0 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bearish |
| Net Conviction | 39 |
| Actionability | 0 (no mans land) |
The Cato Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a specialty retailer of fashion apparel and accessories primarily in the southeastern United States. It operates through two segments, Retail and Credit. The company's stores and e-commerce websites offer a range of apparel and accessories, including dressy, career, and casual sportswear; and dresses, coats, shoes, lingerie, costume jewelry, and handbags, as well as men's wear, and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $3.23 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $66.3M |
| Float | 13.8M |
| Shares Outstanding | 17.9M |
| P/E (Forward) | 17.15 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 0.10 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +612.1% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | 0.01% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 5.03% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $655M |
| Earnings Growth (YoY) | 181.70% |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $23.00 |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $575M | -$45.4M | $127M | -$57.9M |
| 2022 | $769M | $34.9M | $304M | $51.4M |
| 2023 | $759M | $41,000 | $239M | $12.9M |
| 2024 | $708M | -$22.6M | $234M | -$3.9M |
| 2025 | $650M | -$18.6M | $204M | -$6.2M |
| 2026 | $654M | -$5.9M | $212M | $2.5M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | $177M | $6.5M |
| Oct 2025 | $155M | -$5.2M |
| Jan 2026 | $152M | -$10.9M |
| Apr 2026 | $171M | $9.3M |
| Insider Ownership | 18.9% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 33.6% |
| Short Float | 3.1% |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $3.25 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $3.22 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $3.23 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $5.62 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $3.19 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $3.22 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $4.85 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $2.90 | support | 1.26x | 1 months ago |
| $6.50 | resistance | 1.46x | 19 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 0.12% | 0.00% | 49.12% | 6.94% | -5.42% |
| 1 Day | 0.22% | 0.23% | 53.51% | 19.05% | -13.48% |
| 1 Week | 0.45% | 0.52% | 52.63% | 34.52% | -22.41% |
| 2 Weeks | 0.49% | 0.87% | 54.39% | 26.80% | -27.27% |
| 1 Month | -0.11% | 0.37% | 50.44% | 26.07% | -31.82% |
Next earnings: August 20, 2026 (37 days away)
| Month | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -0.9% | 53.8% | 39 |
| Feb | 1.4% | 41.0% | 39 |
| Mar | 0.7% | 46.2% | 39 |
| Apr | 5.3% | 51.3% | 39 |
| May | 5.6% | 65.0% | 40 |
| Jun | -0.3% | 55.0% | 40 |
| Jul | 0.7% | 41.0% | 39 |
| Aug | 0.5% | 46.2% | 39 |
| Sep | -0.2% | 51.3% | 39 |
| Oct | -1.5% | 35.9% | 39 |
| Nov | 0.6% | 53.8% | 39 |
| Dec | -0.2% | 48.7% | 39 |
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | -0.07% | 45.2% | 1861 |
| Tuesday | 0.21% | 46.5% | 2027 |
| Wednesday | 0.07% | 43.9% | 2025 |
| Thursday | 0.05% | 44.7% | 1989 |
| Friday | 0.10% | 45.2% | 1976 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 33.6%
Total insider ownership: 18.9%
Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cato Corporation (CATO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for CATO on Trend Edge →