Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About The Cheesecake Factory
The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concept… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Restaurants
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: September 17, 1992
Headquarters: 26901 Malibu Hills Road, Calabasas, CA, United States, 91301
Founder-Led: Yes — David Overton (Founder, Chairman & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$64.95
Market Cap
$3.01B
Float
45.7M
Shares Outstanding
49.7M
P/E (Forward)
14.97
P/E (TTM)
17.76
Price/Sales (TTM)
0.79
vs. Analyst Target
+2.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
4.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)
5.83%
Revenue (TTM)
$3.80B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.20%
Dividend Rate
1.2%
Analyst Target Price
$66.76 (19 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$1.98B
-$253M
$746M
-$256M
2021
$2.93B
$72.4M
$1.20B
$172M
2022
$3.30B
$43.1M
$1.28B
$133M
2023
$3.44B
$101M
$1.41B
$202M
2024
$3.58B
$157M
$2.78B
$283M
2025
$3.75B
$148M
$2.94B
$282M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$956M
$54.8M
Sep 2025
$907M
$31.9M
Dec 2025
$962M
$28.8M
Mar 2026
$979M
$49.5M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
7.5%
Institutional Ownership
104.2%
Short Float
17.9%
% of All Funds Holding
3.75%
Number of Funds Holding
308
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$60.03
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$56.40
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$55.16
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$43.15
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$56.94
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$55.23
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$45.25
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$47.00
support
1.06x
17 months ago
$41.00
support
1.33x
18 months ago
$34.40
support
1.53x
23 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (99 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.06%
-0.03%
47.47%
9.93%
-11.12%
1 Day
-0.15%
0.32%
52.53%
8.89%
-13.20%
1 Week
0.10%
0.22%
51.52%
22.37%
-21.80%
2 Weeks
-0.52%
-0.69%
46.46%
21.21%
-22.90%
1 Month
0.17%
-0.18%
50.00%
32.82%
-61.57%
Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (51 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
1.2%
50.0%
34
Feb
1.5%
50.0%
34
Mar
3.1%
67.6%
34
Apr
2.9%
55.9%
34
May
-0.3%
42.4%
33
Jun
-0.1%
57.6%
33
Jul
-0.0%
57.6%
33
Aug
0.4%
48.5%
33
Sep
-0.6%
42.4%
33
Oct
2.1%
67.6%
34
Nov
4.8%
70.6%
34
Dec
0.7%
47.1%
34
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.06%
48.1%
1595
Tuesday
0.09%
49.0%
1742
Wednesday
0.17%
50.4%
1739
Thursday
0.03%
49.3%
1705
Friday
-0.00%
45.8%
1697
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 104.2%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 7.5%
Founder-led management: David Overton (Founder, Chairman & CEO)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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