When is The Cheesecake Factory's (CAKE) next earnings report?

The Cheesecake Factory's next earnings report is expected on October 16, 2026 (50 days away). View CAKE's historical earnings reactions and AI-powered earnings trade plan on Trend Edge at https://trendedge.app/asset/CAKE

What is The Cheesecake Factory's (CAKE) market cap?

The Cheesecake Factory has a market cap of $5.30B, classifying it as a mid-cap Consumer Cyclical stock. Trend Edge tracks CAKE's institutional ownership (103.9%), insider transactions, and proprietary indicators.

Is The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) founder-led?

Yes — The Cheesecake Factory is founder-led. Current founder leadership: David Overton (Founder, Chairman & CEO). Founder-led companies are tracked separately by Trend Edge as a proprietary indicator.

What is CAKE's Trend Edge Score?

CAKE's current Trend Edge Score is 89.7. The Trend Edge Score is a proprietary technical indicator combining weekly trend strength, momentum, and volume signals into a single value used to rank long position setups across thousands of tracked stocks.

How has CAKE historically reacted to earnings?

Over the last 100 earnings events, CAKE has averaged a 0.28% return in the week following earnings, with a 52.00% win rate. Best 1-week reaction: +22.37%. Worst: -21.80%. Full earnings reaction breakdown across gap, 1-day, 2-week, and 1-month timeframes available on Trend Edge.

What is the average analyst price target for CAKE?

19 Wall Street analysts have an average price target of $90.80 on CAKE, implying 20% downside from the current price of $113.49.

CAKE Stock Analysis — The Cheesecake Factory · Founder-Led

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CAKE Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 40, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score	0
Directional Bias	Bullish
Net Conviction	40
Actionability	0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

40wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 68.59 vs px 113)
80wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 61.74 vs px 113)
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 46.99 vs px 113)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +0.98 · 3.68→3.90
Seasonal Tailwind — october med 3.9% (mag 2/3) · posClose 67.65% (rel 2/3) · n34 ×0.75 = 6
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led

About The Cheesecake Factory

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concept… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Industry: Restaurants
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: September 17, 1992
Headquarters: 26901 Malibu Hills Road, Calabasas, CA, United States, 91301
Website: https://www.thecheesecakefactory.com
Employees: 48,000

Key Metrics

Current Price	$113.49
Market Cap	$5.30B
Float	45.9M
Shares Outstanding	49.8M
P/E (Forward)	25.84
P/E (TTM)	28.64
Price/Sales (TTM)	1.37
vs. Analyst Target	-20.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin	4.61%
Operating Margin (TTM)	7.77%
Revenue (TTM)	$3.88B
Earnings Growth (YoY)	23.70%
Dividend Rate	1.2%
Analyst Target Price	$90.80 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

Year	Revenue	Net Income	Gross Profit	EBITDA
2020	$1.98B	-$253M	$746M	-$256M
2021	$2.93B	$72.4M	$1.20B	$172M
2022	$3.30B	$43.1M	$1.28B	$133M
2023	$3.44B	$101M	$1.41B	$202M
2024	$3.58B	$157M	$2.78B	$283M
2025	$3.75B	$148M	$2.94B	$282M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

Quarter	Revenue	Net Income
Sep 2025	$907M	$31.9M
Dec 2025	$962M	$28.8M
Mar 2026	$979M	$49.5M
Jun 2026	$1.03B	$68.4M

Insider Ownership	7.5%
Institutional Ownership	103.9%
Short Float	20.8%
% of All Funds Holding	3.90%
Number of Funds Holding	343

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

Timeframe	SMA	Value	Trend Context
Weekly	10-Week SMA	$96.15	Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly	40-Week SMA	$68.59	Medium-term trend
Weekly	80-Week SMA	$61.74	Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly	200-Week SMA	$46.99	Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly	10-Month SMA	$69.90	Near-term monthly trend
Monthly	20-Month SMA	$62.79	Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly	40-Month SMA	$49.98	Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price Level	Type	Volume Ratio	Age
$80.00	support	1.37x	0 months ago
$103.00	support	1.17x	0 months ago
$66.00	support	1.09x	1 months ago
$47.00	support	1.06x	20 months ago
$41.00	support	1.33x	21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

Timeframe	Avg Return	Median	Win Rate	Best	Worst
Gap	0.11%	-0.01%	48.00%	9.93%	-11.12%
1 Day	-0.01%	0.34%	53.00%	13.63%	-13.20%
1 Week	0.28%	0.29%	52.00%	22.37%	-21.80%
2 Weeks	-0.19%	-0.66%	47.00%	31.77%	-22.90%
1 Month	0.20%	0.10%	50.51%	32.82%	-61.57%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Month	Avg Return	Win Rate	Samples
Jan	1.2%	50.0%	34
Feb	1.5%	50.0%	34
Mar	3.1%	67.6%	34
Apr	2.9%	55.9%	34
May	-0.2%	44.1%	34
Jun	0.5%	58.8%	34
Jul	0.8%	58.8%	34
Aug	0.4%	48.5%	33
Sep	-0.6%	42.4%	33
Oct	2.1%	67.6%	34
Nov	4.8%	70.6%	34
Dec	0.7%	47.1%	34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Day	Avg Return	Win Rate	Samples
Monday	0.06%	48.1%	1608
Tuesday	0.09%	49.1%	1754
Wednesday	0.19%	50.5%	1752
Thursday	0.03%	49.4%	1718
Friday	0.01%	46.1%	1708

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.5%

Founder-led management: David Overton (Founder, Chairman & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings	16
Net Value	-$21.1M
Net Shares Change	-149,742
% of Float	-0.3%
C-Suite Filings	10
Clusters Detected	2

Key Insiders

Name	Title	Net Value	Filings	Activity
OVERTON DAVID	CHAIRMAN AND C.E.O.	-$10.0M	1	1 sell
Clark Matthew Eliot	EXEC VP, CFO	-$4.1M	1	1 sell
Gordon David M	PRESIDENT	-$2.9M	1	1 sell
May Scarlett	EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL	-$819,021.48	1	1 sell
CAPPELLO ALEXANDER L		-$397,484.426	3	3 sell
Hanscom Ashley W	PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER	-$350,000	1	1 sell
Ames Edie A		-$296,095	1	1 buy, 1 sell
Meyer Janice L.		-$214,121.593	1	1 sell

Transaction Clusters

Period	Filings	Insiders	Net Value	Seniority
2026-02-25 – 2026-03-11	5	5	-$1.4M	4 C-suite
2026-07-31 – 2026-08-12	8	7	-$18.6M	5 C-suite

Significant Filings

Date	Insider	Title	Net Value	Price After
2026-08-12	Ames Edie A		-$296,095	Transaction at $78.23, now +45.1%
2026-08-06	OVERTON DAVID	CHAIRMAN AND C.E.O.	-$10.0M	Transaction at $106.27, now +6.8%
2026-08-12	Gordon David M	PRESIDENT	-$2.9M	Transaction at $74.19, now +53.0%
2026-08-03	May Scarlett	EVP, GENERAL COUNSEL	-$819,021.48	Transaction at $102.66, now +10.5%
2026-07-31	Hanscom Ashley W	PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICER	-$350,000	Transaction at $100.00, now +13.5%
2026-08-03	CAPPELLO ALEXANDER L		-$229,094.306	Transaction at $101.64, now +11.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CAKE on Trend Edge →

CAKE — The Cheesecake Factory

Trend Edge Setup Score

Key signals behind this score

About The Cheesecake Factory

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

Ownership & Float

Current Moving Averages

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Key Insiders

Transaction Clusters

Significant Filings

AI Consult Analysis

CAKE — The Cheesecake Factory

Trend Edge Setup Score

Key signals behind this score

About The Cheesecake Factory

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

Ownership & Float

Current Moving Averages

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Key Insiders

Transaction Clusters

Significant Filings

AI Consult Analysis

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