CABA — Cabaletta Bio Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Cabaletta Bio Inc

Cabaletta Bio, Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery and development of engineered T cell therapies for patients with autoimmune diseases. The company's lead product candidate is resecabtagene autoleucel, a 4-1BB co-stimulatory domain-containing fully human CD19-CAR T, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical trials for the treatment of dermatomyositis, anti-synthetase syndrome, immune-mediated necrotizing myopathy, juvenil… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.65
Market Cap$561M
Float142.9M
Shares Outstanding163.1M
vs. Analyst Target+266.4% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$13.38 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $0.01 -$32.5M $0.01 -$33.5M
2021 N/A -$45.5M -$733,000 -$45.6M
2022 N/A -$51.8M -$3.7M -$53.0M
2023 N/A -$67.7M -$1.4M -$66.2M
2024 N/A -$116M -$4.8M -$113M
2025 N/A -$168M -$1.6M -$164M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$45.1M
Sep 2025 N/A -$44.9M
Dec 2025 N/A -$41.9M
Mar 2026 N/A -$43.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.0%
Institutional Ownership54.2%
Short Float14.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.27%
Number of Funds Holding104

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.19Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.32Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$7.21Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.44Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.00 support 1.44x 0 months ago
$2.60 support 1.02x 2 months ago
$1.50 support 1.32x 7 months ago
$1.40 support 1.41x 11 months ago
$5.00 resistance 2.01x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (27 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.98% 0.36% 55.56% 6.06% -2.13%
1 Day 0.45% 0.69% 55.56% 17.24% -19.84%
1 Week -1.50% -5.22% 37.04% 91.63% -50.53%
2 Weeks 3.79% 4.45% 55.56% 74.88% -31.25%
1 Month 7.81% 1.22% 50.00% 235.47% -39.72%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (68 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.37% 44.7% 309
Tuesday -0.36% 46.6% 341
Wednesday 0.24% 45.7% 337
Thursday 0.27% 48.2% 330
Friday 0.43% 46.4% 330

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 54.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.0%

Founder-led management: Steven Nichtberger (President, Chief Executive Officer, and Co-Founder)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value+$210,623.009
Net Shares Change132,073
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings5
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Nichtberger Steven President and CEO +$100,777.5 1 1 buy
Tomasello Shawn +$50,322.24 1 1 buy
Gavel Steve Chief Commercial Officer +$50,215.05 1 1 buy
Simon Mark +$25,261.112 1 1 buy
Binder Gwendolyn President, Science and Tech. +$24,763.099 1 1 buy
Chang David J. Chief Medical Officer +$19,888 1 1 buy
Gerard Michael General Counsel +$14,979.36 1 1 buy
Bollard Catherine +$9,982.17 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-01-21 – 2026-01-21 8 8 +$296,188.532 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-21 Gerard Michael General Counsel +$14,979.36 Transaction at $2.27, now +60.8%
2026-01-21 Gavel Steve Chief Commercial Officer +$50,215.05 Transaction at $2.27, now +61.1%
2026-01-21 Chang David J. Chief Medical Officer +$19,888 Transaction at $2.26, now +61.5%
2026-01-21 Binder Gwendolyn President, Science and Tech. +$24,763.099 Transaction at $2.19, now +66.7%
2026-01-21 Nichtberger Steven President and CEO +$100,777.5 Transaction at $2.24, now +63.0%
2026-01-21 Tomasello Shawn +$50,322.24 Transaction at $2.21, now +64.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Cabaletta Bio Inc (CABA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CABA on Trend Edge →