BOOT — Boot Barn Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Boot Barn Holdings Inc

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. operates specialty retail stores in the United States and internationally. The company's lifestyle retail chain engages in the sale of western and work-related footwear, apparel and accessories for men, women, and kids. It offers denim, western shirts, cowboy hats, belts and belt buckles, rugged footwear, outerwear, overalls, shirts, safety-toe boots, hats, flame-resistant and high-visibility clothing, and western-style j… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$165.35
Market Cap$4.69B
Float30.2M
Shares Outstanding30.3M
P/E (Forward)17.89
P/E (TTM)21.02
Price/Sales (TTM)2.08
vs. Analyst Target+36.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.02%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.62%
Revenue (TTM)$2.25B
Earnings Growth (YoY)18.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$225.14 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $893M $59.4M $295M $145M
2022 $1.49B $192M $575M $325M
2023 $1.66B $171M $611M $316M
2024 $1.67B $147M $614M $249M
2025 $1.91B $181M $717M $304M
2026 $2.25B $226M $858M $378M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $504M $53.4M
Sep 2025 $505M $42.2M
Dec 2025 $706M $85.8M
Mar 2026 $539M $44.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership116.3%
Short Float9.7%
% of All Funds Holding5.13%
Number of Funds Holding422

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$156.99Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$177.46Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$160.22Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$118.48Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$175.43Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$157.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$126.52Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$148.00 support 1.11x 0 months ago
$183.00 resistance 1.16x 1 months ago
$106.00 support 1.24x 11 months ago
$96.00 support 1.02x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (47 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 3.11% 1.94% 63.83% 25.36% -20.60%
1 Day 2.02% 2.76% 55.32% 17.86% -23.00%
1 Week 3.02% 3.59% 59.57% 42.98% -42.46%
2 Weeks 5.07% 2.99% 56.52% 62.98% -40.55%
1 Month 9.42% 6.36% 65.22% 76.19% -34.33%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.1%58.3%12
Feb6.9%58.3%12
Mar-7.4%41.7%12
Apr6.5%58.3%12
May4.5%45.5%11
Jun7.6%63.6%11
Jul4.3%63.6%11
Aug7.3%81.8%11
Sep-2.1%27.3%11
Oct-2.1%45.5%11
Nov15.2%83.3%12
Dec-1.3%58.3%12

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.38% 54.2% 544
Tuesday -0.13% 48.0% 600
Wednesday 0.19% 50.0% 596
Thursday 0.23% 51.6% 583
Friday 0.09% 51.2% 584

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 116.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$2.6M
Net Shares Change-17,915
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Grijalva Laurie Marie CHIEF MERCHANDISING OFFICER -$1.3M 1 1 sell
STARRETT PETER Executive Chairman -$1.2M 1 1 sell
Morris Brenda I -$452,740 2 2 sell
Burt Gene Eddie -$229,692 1 N/A
Kosoff Jonathon David CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER -$36,871.3 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-26 Kosoff Jonathon David CHIEF DIGITAL OFFICER -$36,871.3 Transaction at $160.31, now +3.1%
2025-11-04 STARRETT PETER Executive Chairman -$1.2M Transaction at $190.00, now -13.0%
2025-08-26 Grijalva Laurie Marie CHIEF MERCHANDISING OFFICER -$1.3M Transaction at $172.14, now -3.9%
2026-02-26 Morris Brenda I -$197,740 Transaction at $197.74, now -16.4%
2025-08-25 Morris Brenda I -$255,000 Transaction at $170.00, now -2.7%
2025-12-01 Burt Gene Eddie -$229,692 Transaction at $191.41, now -13.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Boot Barn Holdings Inc (BOOT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BOOT on Trend Edge →