BMEA — Biomea Fusion Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Biomea Fusion Inc

Biomea Fusion, Inc., a clinical-stage diabetes and obesity medicines company, focuses on the discovery and development of oral drugs to treat patients with diabetes and obesity. It's lead clinical program's drug candidates are COVALENT-111 and COVALENT-112, which has completed Phase II clinical trials of icovamenib for the treatment of Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes; COVALENT-211, which is in Phase II clinical trial of icovamenib for treating insulin… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.38
Market Cap$97.6M
Float67.4M
Shares Outstanding72.3M
vs. Analyst Target+427.9% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$7.29 (9 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$5.3M -$132,000 -$5.2M
2021 N/A -$41.2M -$953,000 -$41.4M
2022 N/A -$80.0M -$1.3M -$82.9M
2023 N/A -$117M -$4.2M -$125M
2024 N/A -$138M -$1.7M -$142M
2025 N/A -$61.8M -$1.4M -$79.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$20.7M
Sep 2025 N/A -$16.4M
Dec 2025 N/A $4.6M
Mar 2026 N/A -$12.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership7.2%
Institutional Ownership38.9%
Short Float21.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.71%
Number of Funds Holding58

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.59Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.49Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.20Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.23Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.44Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.56Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.31Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.00 resistance 2.53x 6 months ago
$7.20 resistance 1.05x 16 months ago
$10.80 resistance 2.20x 22 months ago
$15.30 resistance 1.17x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.22% 0.64% 57.14% 7.54% -9.93%
1 Day -0.33% 0.63% 52.38% 34.54% -16.50%
1 Week -1.91% -10.73% 47.62% 44.85% -26.37%
2 Weeks -2.01% -8.89% 42.86% 63.72% -41.17%
1 Month 9.39% 2.80% 55.00% 125.52% -39.72%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (62 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.24% 43.3% 238
Tuesday 0.68% 48.9% 266
Wednesday -0.20% 47.9% 263
Thursday 0.31% 48.4% 256
Friday -0.42% 47.5% 259

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 38.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 7.2%

Founder-led management: Ramses Erdtmann (Co-Founder, President, COO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+$196,729
Net Shares Change180,000
% of Float0.3%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hitchcock Michael J.M. Interim CEO +$99,180 1 1 buy
Erdtmann Rainer M President, Chief Operating Officer, Principal Financial Officer, and Principal Accounting Officer +$97,549 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-04 Hitchcock Michael J.M. Interim CEO +$99,180 Transaction at $0.99, now +39.1%
2025-12-02 Erdtmann Rainer M President, Chief Operating Officer, Principal Financial Officer, and Principal Accounting Officer +$54,550 Transaction at $1.09, now +26.5%
2025-12-15 Erdtmann Rainer M President, Chief Operating Officer, Principal Financial Officer, and Principal Accounting Officer +$42,999 Transaction at $1.43, now -3.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Biomea Fusion Inc (BMEA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BMEA on Trend Edge →