BLMN — Bloomin Brands Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BLMN Bearish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 19, actionability 90. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction19
Actionability90 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Bloomin Brands Inc

Bloomin' Brands, Inc., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates casual, polished casual, and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company operates through U.S. and International Franchise segments. Its restaurant portfolio has four concepts, including Outback Steakhouse, a casual steakhouse restaurant; Carrabba's Italian Grill that offers authentic Italian cuisine; Bonefish Grill; and Fleming's Prime Steakhouse… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.34
Market Cap$690M
Float83.2M
Shares Outstanding85.6M
P/E (Forward)6.25
P/E (TTM)32.24
Price/Sales (TTM)0.17
vs. Analyst Target+3.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.55%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.42%
Revenue (TTM)$3.97B
Earnings Growth (YoY)29.90%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$8.61 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.17B -$159M $336M $5.2M
2021 $4.12B $216M $732M $470M
2022 $4.01B $102M $675M $331M
2023 $4.17B $247M $719M $453M
2024 $3.95B -$128M $2.80B $179M
2025 $3.96B $5.4M $352M $210M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.00B $25.4M
Sep 2025 $929M -$45.9M
Dec 2025 $975M -$13.5M
Mar 2026 $1.06B $55.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership92.3%
Short Float8.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.54%
Number of Funds Holding209

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.21Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.98Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$7.89Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$16.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$7.94Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$15.59Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.20 support 1.17x 1 months ago
$9.40 resistance 1.66x 15 months ago
$12.00 resistance 1.28x 16 months ago
$13.80 resistance 1.11x 18 months ago
$16.70 resistance 1.45x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (56 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.88% 0.23% 66.07% 15.85% -2.69%
1 Day 1.20% 0.60% 58.93% 12.60% -9.17%
1 Week 0.48% 0.10% 50.00% 24.66% -16.37%
2 Weeks 1.32% 0.60% 53.57% 26.77% -21.37%
1 Month 0.04% 1.52% 50.91% 30.97% -78.35%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.5%50.0%14
Feb2.4%64.3%14
Mar-5.9%35.7%14
Apr8.3%57.1%14
May-1.2%21.4%14
Jun-0.9%42.9%14
Jul-0.2%46.2%13
Aug-1.5%38.5%13
Sep-0.1%50.0%14
Oct-0.6%57.1%14
Nov5.7%64.3%14
Dec-0.7%28.6%14

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.16% 46.3% 656
Tuesday 0.04% 48.9% 718
Wednesday 0.17% 51.4% 716
Thursday 0.10% 50.5% 703
Friday 0.01% 49.1% 701

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value+$929,719.04
Net Shares Change158,244
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Christel Eric C EVP, Chief Financial Officer +$957,000 1 1 buy
Lal Rohit +$56,900 1 1 buy
Hafner Patrick M EVP, Pres Outback Steakhouse -$27,280.96 1 1 sell
Kunkel Julie T. +$16,015 2 2 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-12 3 3 +$939,274.04 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-12 Lal Rohit +$56,900 Transaction at $5.69, now +46.6%
2026-03-09 Kunkel Julie T. +$6,460 Transaction at $6.46, now +29.1%
2025-11-12 Christel Eric C EVP, Chief Financial Officer +$957,000 Transaction at $6.38, now +30.7%
2025-11-12 Kunkel Julie T. +$9,555 Transaction at $6.37, now +30.9%
2025-11-12 Hafner Patrick M EVP, Pres Outback Steakhouse -$27,280.96 Transaction at $6.41, now +30.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bloomin Brands Inc (BLMN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BLMN on Trend Edge →