BKE — Buckle Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BKE Bearish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 27, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction27
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Buckle Inc

The Buckle, Inc. operates as a retailer of casual apparel, footwear, and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Buckle and Buckle Youth brands in the United States. The company markets a selection of brand name casual apparel, including denims, other casual bottoms, tops, sportswear, outerwear, accessories, and footwear, as well as private label merchandise comprising the BKE, Buckle Black, Ace High, Daytrip, Departwest, FITZ + EDDI, Fres… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$43.63
Market Cap$2.20B
Float30.8M
Shares Outstanding51.5M
P/E (Forward)13.68
P/E (TTM)9.90
Price/Sales (TTM)1.66
vs. Analyst Target+5.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.62%
Operating Margin (TTM)17.45%
Revenue (TTM)$1.33B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-2.20%
Dividend Rate1.4%
Analyst Target Price$46.00 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $901M $130M $401M $189M
2022 $1.29B $255M $653M $354M
2023 $1.35B $255M $676M $347M
2024 $1.26B $220M $619M $310M
2025 $1.22B $195M $593M $280M
2026 $1.30B $210M $636M $302M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $321M $48.7M
Jan 2026 $399M $80.8M
Apr 2026 $289M $46.9M
Jul 2026 $320M $44.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership38.3%
Institutional Ownership63.2%
Short Float11.9%
% of All Funds Holding3.34%
Number of Funds Holding294

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$43.02Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$47.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$48.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$43.38Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$46.78Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$47.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$44.45Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$35.00 support 1.08x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (110 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% 0.00% 43.64% 4.08% -13.01%
1 Day 0.71% 0.49% 58.18% 11.51% -8.09%
1 Week 1.85% 1.32% 62.73% 24.71% -10.61%
2 Weeks 3.07% 1.25% 61.82% 70.51% -14.12%
1 Month 2.38% 2.30% 58.72% 43.14% -18.67%

Next earnings: November 20, 2026 (41 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.2%44.1%34
Feb1.4%52.9%34
Mar3.3%61.8%34
Apr1.1%55.9%34
May0.8%47.1%34
Jun-0.3%54.3%35
Jul1.5%57.1%35
Aug-2.1%34.3%35
Sep1.0%54.3%35
Oct2.3%52.9%34
Nov8.0%70.6%34
Dec-0.5%44.1%34

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 49.1% 1630
Tuesday 0.15% 50.0% 1779
Wednesday 0.09% 47.6% 1777
Thursday -0.03% 49.2% 1743
Friday 0.08% 47.7% 1732

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 63.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 38.3%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$6.5M
Net Shares Change-178,700
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SMITH KARI G EVP Stores -$4.2M 2 2 sell
HOFFMAN MICHELLE SVP Sales -$2.4M 2 2 sell
FAIRFIELD BILL L -$111,087.5 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-14 SMITH KARI G EVP Stores -$1.6M Transaction at $54.57, now -20.1%
2026-04-14 HOFFMAN MICHELLE SVP Sales -$887,761.62 Transaction at $54.80, now -20.4%
2026-03-23 HOFFMAN MICHELLE SVP Sales -$1.5M Transaction at $49.14, now -11.2%
2026-03-17 SMITH KARI G EVP Stores -$2.5M Transaction at $50.37, now -13.4%
2026-06-10 FAIRFIELD BILL L -$111,087.5 Transaction at $44.44, now -1.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Buckle Inc (BKE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BKE on Trend Edge →