BJRI — BJs Restaurants Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BJRI Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 36, actionability 47. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction36
Actionability47 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About BJs Restaurants Inc

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. operates full-service restaurants in the United States. Its restaurants offer pizzas, crafts and other beers, appetizers, entrées, wings, pastas, sandwiches, specialty salads, and Pizookie desserts. The company was formerly known as Chicago Pizza & Brewery, Inc. and changed its name to BJ's Restaurants, Inc. in August 2004. BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$67.28
Market Cap$1.37B
Float20.4M
Shares Outstanding21.3M
P/E (Forward)30.67
P/E (TTM)34.16
Price/Sales (TTM)0.95
vs. Analyst Target+12.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.01%
Revenue (TTM)$1.43B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-11.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$75.38 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $779M -$57.9M $56.4M -$9.7M
2021 $1.09B -$3.6M $130M $58.6M
2022 $1.28B $4.1M $145M $65.0M
2023 $1.33B $19.7M $178M $86.0M
2024 $1.36B $16.7M $196M $86.5M
2025 $1.40B $48.8M $216M $129M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $330M $465,000
Dec 2025 $355M $12.6M
Mar 2026 $358M $9.0M
Jun 2026 $389M $18.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.9%
Institutional Ownership104.7%
Short Float7.4%
% of All Funds Holding2.19%
Number of Funds Holding193

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$65.44Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$47.07Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$41.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$36.08Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$47.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$41.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$37.39Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$61.00 support 1.19x 0 months ago
$47.00 support 1.33x 1 months ago
$30.30 support 1.20x 9 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (101 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.71% 0.00% 48.51% 20.49% -9.96%
1 Day 1.33% 1.06% 58.42% 26.96% -15.70%
1 Week 0.84% 0.31% 52.48% 32.59% -24.62%
2 Weeks 1.73% 0.40% 50.50% 41.81% -32.19%
1 Month 2.47% 1.30% 54.00% 47.29% -70.35%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.6%53.3%30
Feb0.8%60.0%30
Mar-0.8%60.0%30
Apr4.4%56.7%30
May5.4%53.3%30
Jun2.6%53.3%30
Jul-0.7%43.3%30
Aug1.6%44.8%29
Sep-0.4%37.9%29
Oct2.8%51.7%29
Nov3.8%66.7%30
Dec-2.3%36.7%30

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 46.9% 1413
Tuesday 0.17% 48.7% 1543
Wednesday 0.06% 47.4% 1541
Thursday 0.15% 47.8% 1512
Friday 0.18% 47.3% 1504

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 104.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$4.3M
Net Shares Change-25,200
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings13
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Lynds Gregory S EVP & Chief Dev. Officer -$2.4M 4 4 sell
Miller Kendra D EVP & General Counsel -$1.3M 3 3 sell
Elbogen Noah A. -$528,504.9 1 1 sell
Rogers Heidi SVP & Chief Marketing Officer -$50,347.842 1 1 sell
Ottinger Lea Anne -$71.65 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-01 – 2026-06-15 7 5 -$1.4M 6 C-suite
2026-06-23 – 2026-06-23 3 3 -$188,509.41 1 C-suite
2026-08-05 – 2026-08-12 4 3 -$3.1M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-07 Lynds Gregory S EVP & Chief Dev. Officer -$1.5M Transaction at $68.81, now -2.2%
2026-08-07 Miller Kendra D EVP & General Counsel -$417,860.678 Transaction at $59.09, now +13.9%
2026-08-05 Lynds Gregory S EVP & Chief Dev. Officer -$682,404.255 Transaction at $54.01, now +24.6%
2026-08-12 Elbogen Noah A. -$528,504.9 Transaction at $70.14, now -4.1%
2026-06-23 Ottinger Lea Anne -$71.65 Transaction at $44.73, now +50.4%
2026-06-23 Lynds Gregory S EVP & Chief Dev. Officer -$112,610.16 Transaction at $46.78, now +43.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BJs Restaurants Inc (BJRI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BJRI on Trend Edge →