BFH — Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BFH Bullish with a Setup Score of 34, net conviction 43, actionability 27. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score34
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability27 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. provides tech-forward payment and lending solutions to customers and consumer-based industries in North America. It offers credit card and other loans financing services, including risk management solutions, underwriting, and funding services for private label and co-brand credit card programs, as well as through Bread Pay partnerships. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$107.56
Market Cap$3.96B
Float37.8M
Shares Outstanding38.4M
P/E (Forward)10.24
P/E (TTM)8.00
Price/Sales (TTM)1.49
vs. Analyst Target+6.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.36%
Operating Margin (TTM)28.97%
Revenue (TTM)$2.67B
Earnings Growth (YoY)21.20%
Dividend Rate0.9%
Analyst Target Price$114.47 (16 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.30B $214M $1.95B $549M
2021 $3.27B $801M $2.06B $1.17B
2022 $3.83B $223M $2.23B $915M
2023 $4.29B $718M $3.06B $1.08B
2024 $3.84B $277M $2.44B $1.43B
2025 $4.70B $518M $2.98B $694M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.18B $188M
Dec 2025 $1.17B $53.0M
Mar 2026 $1.21B $181M
Jun 2026 $1.19B $146M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership107.2%
Short Float7.3%
% of All Funds Holding4.75%
Number of Funds Holding418

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$105.19Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$86.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$71.11Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$52.88Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$85.79Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$71.35Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$56.33Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$89.00 support 1.07x 1 months ago
$55.00 support 1.12x 9 months ago
$45.00 support 1.08x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (100 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.53% 0.11% 57.00% 12.30% -7.27%
1 Day 1.01% 0.40% 55.00% 18.43% -11.00%
1 Week 1.58% 0.99% 59.00% 22.06% -15.48%
2 Weeks 1.99% 0.23% 51.00% 28.22% -25.21%
1 Month 2.31% 0.76% 54.55% 52.08% -33.77%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.0%52.0%25
Feb-0.6%44.0%25
Mar0.1%68.0%25
Apr5.4%60.0%25
May1.8%60.0%25
Jun2.0%64.0%25
Jul3.6%46.2%26
Aug-1.3%48.0%25
Sep-1.7%44.0%25
Oct0.8%60.0%25
Nov5.8%76.0%25
Dec1.5%60.0%25

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.10% 48.7% 1191
Tuesday 0.08% 49.4% 1300
Wednesday 0.18% 53.3% 1299
Thursday 0.10% 52.0% 1274
Friday 0.10% 52.7% 1269

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 107.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$1.3M
Net Shares Change-26,791
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Andretta Ralph J President and CEO -$1.3M 1 N/A
BALLOU ROGER H -$874,929.84 1 1 sell
Lakhwara Praniti -$297,348.24 1 1 sell
Fawcett John J. +$60,328.14 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-29 Lakhwara Praniti -$297,348.24 Transaction at $106.12, now +1.4%
2026-05-22 Fawcett John J. +$60,328.14 Transaction at $86.43, now +24.4%
2026-04-27 BALLOU ROGER H -$874,929.84 Transaction at $90.32, now +19.1%
2026-06-01 Andretta Ralph J President and CEO -$1.3M Transaction at $89.10, now +20.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. (BFH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BFH on Trend Edge →