BDTX — Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc

Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage oncology company, focuses on the discovery and development of MasterKey therapies for patients with genetically defined tumors. The company's lead product candidate is silevertinib, a brain-penetrant epidermal growth factor receptor MasterKey inhibitor, which is in Phase 2 clinical trial for the treatment of epidermal growth factor receptor mutant non-small cell lung cancer, as well as Phase 2 cl… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.33
Market Cap$206M
Float46.3M
Shares Outstanding57.3M
P/E (Forward)8.33
Price/Sales (TTM)2.11
vs. Analyst Target+323.1% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.86 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$67.3M -$600,000 -$66.7M
2021 N/A -$126M -$2.2M -$127M
2022 N/A -$91.2M -$3.2M -$92.3M
2023 N/A -$82.4M -$437,000 -$86.0M
2024 N/A -$69.7M -$343,000 -$78.4M
2025 $70.0M $22.4M $69.7M $20.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 N/A -$10.6M
Sep 2025 N/A -$8.5M
Dec 2025 N/A -$15.1M
Mar 2026 N/A -$9.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership78.7%
Short Float9.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.14%
Number of Funds Holding94

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.60Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.90Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.57Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.04Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.87Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.57Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.30 resistance 1.05x 18 months ago
$6.00 resistance 2.87x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (26 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% -0.01% 38.46% 10.86% -3.88%
1 Day -0.01% -0.68% 42.31% 10.85% -9.48%
1 Week -0.23% -2.99% 38.46% 24.00% -27.85%
2 Weeks -2.65% -4.56% 30.77% 30.47% -46.59%
1 Month 3.73% 1.99% 56.00% 59.42% -50.35%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.14% 45.3% 296
Tuesday 0.51% 43.0% 328
Wednesday 0.23% 47.2% 326
Thursday -0.20% 46.9% 318
Friday -0.28% 42.0% 317

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

Founder-led management: Elizabeth Buck (Co-Founder & Chief Scientific Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc (BDTX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BDTX on Trend Edge →