AVBH — Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AVBH Bullish with a Setup Score of 52, net conviction 65, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score52
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction65
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock

Avidbank Holdings, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Avidbank that provides financial solutions and services. It offers business and personal deposit products, such as checking, money market, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposit. The company also provides lending products, including working capital lines of credit, equipment loans, acquisition financing, shareholder buyouts, ESOP loans, and owner-occupied real estate loans;… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$32.01
Market Cap$350M
Float6.6M
Shares Outstanding11.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)11.00
Profit Margin-50.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.90%
Revenue (TTM)$31.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)18.30%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $45.9M $9.6M $45.9M $31.8M
2021 $52.8M $12.3M $52.8M $41.2M
2022 $75.2M $25.0M $75.2M $77.5M
2023 $67.9M $16.8M $67.9M $25.0M
2024 $77.1M $21.0M $77.1M $29.8M
2025 $74.2M $24.0M $25.8M -$34.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $37.2M $5.8M
Sep 2025 -$23.6M $5.8M
Dec 2025 $40.1M $6.9M
Mar 2026 $40.5M $9.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.2%
Institutional Ownership76.9%
Short Float2.8%
% of All Funds Holding0.96%
Number of Funds Holding79

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.55Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$27.97Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$25.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.78Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$28.32Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.26Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$26.80 support 2.00x 4 months ago
$21.70 support 7.20x 9 months ago
$20.30 support 1.53x 10 months ago
$18.40 support 2.91x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (54 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.04% 0.00% 27.78% 4.36% -2.40%
1 Day 0.52% 0.00% 40.74% 5.57% -2.94%
1 Week 0.75% 0.24% 53.70% 20.78% -10.71%
2 Weeks 0.56% 0.20% 57.41% 12.57% -13.79%
1 Month 1.50% 0.87% 62.26% 17.07% -18.04%

Next earnings: July 27, 2026 (41 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.4%77.3%22
Feb-0.6%40.9%22
Mar0.3%54.5%22
Apr-0.4%40.9%22
May1.4%54.5%22
Jun0.6%52.4%21
Jul1.5%57.1%21
Aug-0.6%45.5%22
Sep0.4%45.5%22
Oct0.4%50.0%22
Nov2.5%54.5%22
Dec0.5%40.9%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 16.5% 1032
Tuesday 0.10% 17.7% 1133
Wednesday 0.03% 17.8% 1133
Thursday 0.03% 19.7% 1111
Friday 0.02% 17.5% 1107

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.2%

Founder-led management: Mark D. Mordell (Chairman, President & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings56
Net Value+$175,195.13
Net Shares Change-58,843
% of Float-0.9%
C-Suite Filings32
Clusters Detected3

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
POLSTER BRYAN C. +$1.1M 1 1 buy
THOMA GINA N. EVP, COO +$115,000 1 1 buy
MORDELL MARK DANIEL Pres., CEO +$92,000 1 1 buy
Oakes Patrick Timothy EVP, CFO +$46,000 1 1 buy
ROSINUS MIKE -$34,804.35 1 1 sell
WASSON ARTHUR EVP, Treasury Management +$23,000 1 1 buy
DEMARCO VICTOR FRANCESCO E. EVP, Chief Legal Counsel, Secy +$17,250 1 1 buy
BENEDICT TAMI LAURA EVP, Chief of Staff +$17,250 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-08 – 2025-08-11 16 16 +$3.5M 8 C-suite
2025-09-22 – 2025-09-22 6 6 +N/A 6 C-suite
2026-02-12 – 2026-02-26 26 8 -$1.6M 18 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-11 THOMA GINA N. EVP, COO +$115,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +39.2%
2026-03-19 ROSINUS MIKE -$34,804.35 Transaction at $30.45, now +5.1%
2025-08-11 Oakes Patrick Timothy EVP, CFO +$46,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +39.2%
2025-08-11 WASSON ARTHUR EVP, Treasury Management +$23,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +39.2%
2025-08-11 Scott Robert H Mgng Dir. Strat. Relationships +$10,005 Transaction at $23.00, now +39.2%
2025-08-11 MORDELL MARK DANIEL Pres., CEO +$92,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +39.2%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock (AVBH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVBH on Trend Edge →