AVBH — Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AVBH Bullish with a Setup Score of 46, net conviction 26, actionability 81. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score46
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction26
Actionability81 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock

Avidbank Holdings, Inc. operates as a bank holding company for Avidbank that provides financial solutions and services. It offers business and personal deposit products, such as checking, money market, and savings accounts; and certificates of deposit. The company also provides lending products, including working capital lines of credit, equipment loans, acquisition financing, shareholder buyouts, ESOP loans, and owner-occupied real estate loans;… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$32.86
Market Cap$349M
Float6.6M
Shares Outstanding11.0M
Price/Sales (TTM)10.97
Profit Margin-50.20%
Operating Margin (TTM)46.90%
Revenue (TTM)$31.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)18.30%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $45.9M $9.6M $45.9M $31.8M
2021 $52.8M $12.3M $52.8M $41.2M
2022 $75.2M $25.0M $75.2M $77.5M
2023 $67.9M $16.8M $67.9M $25.0M
2024 $77.1M $21.0M $77.1M $29.8M
2025 $74.2M $24.0M $25.8M -$34.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $37.2M $5.8M
Sep 2025 -$23.6M $5.8M
Dec 2025 $40.1M $6.9M
Mar 2026 $40.5M $9.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.2%
Institutional Ownership76.9%
Short Float6.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.96%
Number of Funds Holding79

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$32.11Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$29.00Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$25.84Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$22.09Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$29.16Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$25.85Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.67Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$30.70 support 2.29x 1 months ago
$28.40 support 1.25x 3 months ago
$26.80 support 2.00x 5 months ago
$21.70 support 7.20x 11 months ago
$20.30 support 1.53x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (55 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.02% 0.00% 27.27% 4.36% -2.40%
1 Day 0.51% 0.00% 40.00% 5.57% -2.94%
1 Week 0.75% 0.24% 53.70% 20.78% -10.71%
2 Weeks 0.56% 0.20% 57.41% 12.57% -13.79%
1 Month 1.50% 1.05% 62.96% 17.07% -18.04%

Next earnings: October 11, 2026 (72 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.4%77.3%22
Feb-0.6%40.9%22
Mar0.3%54.5%22
Apr-0.4%40.9%22
May1.4%54.5%22
Jun0.9%54.5%22
Jul1.5%57.1%21
Aug-0.6%45.5%22
Sep0.4%45.5%22
Oct0.4%50.0%22
Nov2.5%54.5%22
Dec0.5%40.9%22

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 16.7% 1039
Tuesday 0.10% 17.9% 1139
Wednesday 0.03% 17.9% 1139
Thursday 0.03% 20.0% 1117
Friday 0.02% 17.5% 1111

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 76.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.2%

Founder-led management: Mark D. Mordell (Chairman, President & CEO)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings48
Net Value+$175,195.13
Net Shares Change-48,510
% of Float-0.7%
C-Suite Filings26
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
POLSTER BRYAN C. +$1.1M 1 1 buy
THOMA GINA N. EVP, COO +$115,000 1 1 buy
MORDELL MARK DANIEL Pres., CEO +$92,000 1 1 buy
VERISSIMO MARC J +$92,000 1 1 buy
Oakes Patrick Timothy EVP, CFO +$46,000 1 1 buy
WASSON ARTHUR EVP, Treasury Management +$23,000 1 1 buy
DEMARCO VICTOR FRANCESCO E. EVP, Chief Legal Counsel, Secy +$17,250 1 1 buy
BENEDICT TAMI LAURA EVP, Chief of Staff +$17,250 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-08 – 2025-08-11 16 16 +$3.5M 8 C-suite
2026-02-12 – 2026-02-26 24 8 -$1.4M 18 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-08-11 THOMA GINA N. EVP, COO +$115,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +42.9%
2025-08-11 Oakes Patrick Timothy EVP, CFO +$46,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +42.9%
2025-08-11 WASSON ARTHUR EVP, Treasury Management +$23,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +42.9%
2025-08-11 Scott Robert H Mgng Dir. Strat. Relationships +$10,005 Transaction at $23.00, now +42.9%
2025-08-11 MORDELL MARK DANIEL Pres., CEO +$92,000 Transaction at $23.00, now +42.9%
2025-08-11 DEMARCO VICTOR FRANCESCO E. EVP, Chief Legal Counsel, Secy +$17,250 Transaction at $23.00, now +42.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock (AVBH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVBH on Trend Edge →