Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates AVBC Bullish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 31, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 44 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bullish |
| Net Conviction | 31 |
| Actionability | 62 (in range) |
Avidia Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Avidia Bank that provides various financial services to individual and corporate customers. The company offers savings and checking, certificates of deposit, individual retirement, money market, demand deposit, and interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking accounts. It also provides savings, checking, debit cards, credit cards, youth accounts, veterans checking, mobile banking,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $19.97 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $378M |
| Float | 17.9M |
| Shares Outstanding | 18.6M |
| P/E (Forward) | 15.53 |
| P/E (TTM) | 26.42 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 3.63 |
| Profit Margin | 13.75% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | 32.11% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $104M |
| Dividend Rate | 0.1% |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $73.0M | $11.7M | $73.0M | N/A |
| 2021 | $87.1M | $17.4M | $87.1M | N/A |
| 2022 | $88.9M | $9.0M | $88.9M | N/A |
| 2023 | $125M | $12.4M | $82.9M | $19.5M |
| 2024 | $141M | $11.5M | $88.5M | $18.4M |
| 2025 | $148M | -$3.3M | $82.1M | -$5.7M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $37.1M | $3.9M |
| Sep 2025 | $38.4M | -$907,000 |
| Dec 2025 | $37.5M | $5.3M |
| Mar 2026 | $37.9M | $6.0M |
| Insider Ownership | 11.2% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 32.4% |
| Short Float | 0.3% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 0.75% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 62 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $19.88 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $17.81 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $0.00 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $0.00 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $17.90 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $0.00 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $0.00 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Volume shelf data not available.
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | -0.26% | -0.17% | 50.00% | 0.67% | -1.38% |
| 1 Day | 1.04% | 0.22% | 50.00% | 4.06% | -0.34% |
| 1 Week | 0.57% | 0.61% | 50.00% | 2.88% | -1.82% |
| 2 Weeks | -0.47% | 1.57% | 75.00% | 2.89% | -7.89% |
| 1 Month | 4.11% | 4.00% | 100.00% | 6.24% | 2.08% |
Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (37 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 32.4%
Total insider ownership: 11.2%
| Total Filings | 66 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | +$3.2M |
| Net Shares Change | 267,563 |
| % of Float | 1.5% |
| C-Suite Filings | 56 |
| Clusters Detected | 7 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GILLES MICHAEL O | +$97,496 | 1 | 2 buy | |
| Cozzone Robert D | President and CEO | +$79,996.659 | 2 | 2 buy |
| Karmelek Nicolas | EVP and CRO | +$50,426.04 | 2 | 2 buy |
| Jensen Barry H | EVP and Chief Admin Officer | +$49,930 | 3 | 3 buy |
| Doane Thomas | EVP- Human Resources | +$43,166.4 | 1 | 1 buy |
| Nelson Jonathan Michael | CFO and Treasurer | +$20,128.394 | 1 | 1 buy |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-05 – 2025-08-18 | 15 | 8 | +$1.8M | 13 C-suite |
| 2025-08-21 – 2025-09-03 | 7 | 3 | +$487,531.538 | 7 C-suite |
| 2025-10-31 – 2025-11-13 | 8 | 3 | +$502,304.496 | 7 C-suite |
| 2025-11-18 – 2025-12-01 | 5 | 5 | +$225,842.673 | 3 C-suite |
| 2026-03-03 – 2026-03-13 | 7 | 6 | +$154,238.699 | 6 C-suite |
| 2026-04-29 – 2026-05-11 | 7 | 5 | +$275,821.44 | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-05-15 – 2026-05-19 | 4 | 3 | +$156,556.259 | 3 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 | GILLES MICHAEL O | +$97,496 | Transaction at $19.50, now +2.4% | |
| 2026-06-03 | Nelson Jonathan Michael | CFO and Treasurer | +$20,128.394 | Transaction at $18.90, now +5.7% |
| 2026-06-01 | Cozzone Robert D | President and CEO | +$40,006.4 | Transaction at $18.80, now +6.2% |
| 2026-05-19 | Jensen Barry H | EVP and Chief Admin Officer | +$9,440 | Transaction at $18.88, now +5.8% |
| 2026-04-29 | Doane Thomas | EVP- Human Resources | +$43,166.4 | Transaction at $21.16, now -5.6% |
| 2026-05-15 | Cozzone Robert D | President and CEO | +$39,990.259 | Transaction at $19.77, now +1.0% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Avidia Bancorp, Inc. (AVBC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.
Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVBC on Trend Edge →