ARWR — Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc

Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc. develops medicines for the treatment of intractable diseases in the United States. Its pipeline includes Plozasiran to reduce production of apolipoprotein C-III in Phase 3 studies; Zodasiran to reduce production of angiopoietin-like protein 3 in Phase 3 clinical trials; ARO-DIMER-PA, a dual functional RNAi molecule in a Phase 1/2a clinical trials; and ARO-PNPLA3, an investigational RNAi therapeutic in Phase 1 clini… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$78.99
Market Cap$10.64B
Float122.8M
Shares Outstanding140.9M
P/E (Forward)111.11
Price/Sales (TTM)17.11
vs. Analyst Target+11.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-48.38%
Operating Margin (TTM)-191.57%
Revenue (TTM)$622M
Earnings Growth (YoY)9.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$88.17 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $88.0M -$84.6M $88.0M -$87.2M
2021 $138M -$141M $138M -$133M
2022 $243M -$176M $243M -$168M
2023 $241M -$205M $228M -$176M
2024 $3.6M -$599M -$15.0M -$562M
2025 $829M -$1.6M $829M $165M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $27.8M -$175M
Sep 2025 $256M -$23.8M
Dec 2025 $264M $30.8M
Mar 2026 $73.7M -$133M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership88.6%
Short Float10.5%
% of All Funds Holding4.96%
Number of Funds Holding408

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$70.55Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$56.02Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$36.69Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$32.59Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$56.58Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$37.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$32.69Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$53.00 support 1.29x 4 months ago
$42.00 support 1.14x 5 months ago
$22.80 support 1.46x 7 months ago
$15.50 support 1.30x 8 months ago
$13.90 support 1.15x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (81 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.71% 0.00% 46.91% 30.19% -8.48%
1 Day 0.24% -0.19% 41.98% 24.23% -26.85%
1 Week 1.98% 0.82% 53.09% 38.19% -30.38%
2 Weeks 3.41% 0.47% 50.62% 51.36% -50.63%
1 Month 7.02% 3.44% 55.00% 81.99% -52.25%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan30.2%51.5%33
Feb-6.2%36.4%33
Mar9.6%48.5%33
Apr6.6%42.4%33
May1.3%34.4%32
Jun-0.0%46.9%32
Jul1.5%50.0%32
Aug4.2%37.5%32
Sep8.0%50.0%32
Oct-7.1%34.4%32
Nov5.0%46.9%32
Dec6.5%40.6%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.73% 32.1% 1534
Tuesday 0.04% 34.9% 1677
Wednesday 1.15% 37.0% 1674
Thursday 0.31% 33.6% 1642
Friday 1.12% 34.0% 1636

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

Founder-led management: Christopher Anzalone (President, CEO and Chairman of the Board)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings21
Net Value-$33.4M
Net Shares Change-377,975
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Anzalone Christopher Richard Chief Executive Officer -$17.8M 2 2 sell
Hamilton James C Chief Medical Officer -$2.5M 1 N/A
PERRY MICHAEL S -$991,737.5 1 1 sell
Apel Daniel Joseph Chief Financial Officer -$934,285.036 1 N/A
Vakiener Victoria -$679,491.136 1 N/A
OLUKOTUN ADEOYE Y -$676,623 1 N/A
Waddill William D. -$566,038.427 1 N/A
Ferrari Mauro -$493,412.5 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-16 – 2025-12-30 8 5 -$25.3M 4 C-suite
2026-01-05 – 2026-01-05 3 3 -$6.5M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-12-19 Anzalone Christopher Richard Chief Executive Officer -$5.4M Transaction at $64.04, now +23.3%
2025-12-16 Anzalone Christopher Richard Chief Executive Officer -$12.3M Transaction at $67.00, now +17.9%
2025-12-09 PERRY MICHAEL S -$991,737.5 Transaction at $61.03, now +29.4%
2025-12-01 Ferrari Mauro -$493,412.5 Transaction at $56.39, now +40.1%
2026-01-05 Hamilton James C Chief Medical Officer -$2.5M Transaction at $63.11, now +25.2%
2026-05-14 Lu Hongbo -$228,333.6 Transaction at $76.88, now +2.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc (ARWR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ARWR on Trend Edge →