Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge rates ARQT Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 39, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →
| Total Setup Score | 0 |
|---|---|
| Directional Bias | Bullish |
| Net Conviction | 39 |
| Actionability | 0 (extended) |
Arcutis Biotherapeutics, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing treatments for dermatological diseases. The company's lead product is ZORYVE, a topical roflumilast cream for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and atopic dermatitis. It also develops ZORYVE foam seborrheic dermatitis, and scalp and body psoriasis treatment; ARQ-234, a fusion protein that is a potent and highly selective checkpoint agonist of the… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
| Current Price | $28.78 |
|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.23B |
| Float | 92.6M |
| Shares Outstanding | 125.1M |
| P/E (Forward) | 142.86 |
| Price/Sales (TTM) | 7.77 |
| vs. Analyst Target | +20.3% to analyst PT |
| Profit Margin | -0.57% |
| Operating Margin (TTM) | -8.62% |
| Revenue (TTM) | $416M |
| Dividend Rate | None |
| Analyst Target Price | $34.63 (7 analysts) |
| Year | Revenue | Net Income | Gross Profit | EBITDA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | N/A | -$136M | -$455,000 | -$135M |
| 2021 | N/A | -$206M | -$763,000 | -$206M |
| 2022 | $3.7M | -$311M | $2.9M | -$295M |
| 2023 | $59.6M | -$262M | $54.6M | -$227M |
| 2024 | $197M | -$140M | $177M | -$110M |
| 2025 | $376M | -$16.1M | $339M | $2.5M |
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 2025 | $81.5M | -$15.9M |
| Sep 2025 | $99.2M | $7.4M |
| Dec 2025 | $130M | $17.4M |
| Mar 2026 | $105M | -$11.3M |
| Insider Ownership | 1.8% |
|---|---|
| Institutional Ownership | 110.1% |
| Short Float | 17.1% |
| % of All Funds Holding | 2.94% |
| Number of Funds Holding | 242 |
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
| Timeframe | SMA | Value | Trend Context |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly | 10-Week SMA | $23.82 | Near-term / short-term trend |
| Weekly | 40-Week SMA | $25.01 | Medium-term trend |
| Weekly | 80-Week SMA | $19.84 | Cyclical trend (business cycle) |
| Weekly | 200-Week SMA | $14.15 | Secular trend (multi-year) |
| Monthly | 10-Month SMA | $26.06 | Near-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 20-Month SMA | $20.40 | Medium-term monthly trend |
| Monthly | 40-Month SMA | $14.37 | Secular monthly trend |
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
| Price Level | Type | Volume Ratio | Age |
|---|---|---|---|
| $21.40 | support | 1.04x | 0 months ago |
| $18.90 | support | 1.31x | 8 months ago |
| Timeframe | Avg Return | Median | Win Rate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gap | 0.16% | 0.24% | 57.69% | 15.87% | -20.46% |
| 1 Day | -0.62% | -1.08% | 46.15% | 36.38% | -18.83% |
| 1 Week | -1.11% | -2.04% | 42.31% | 67.57% | -32.46% |
| 2 Weeks | -2.75% | -0.86% | 46.15% | 39.68% | -39.34% |
| 1 Month | -1.31% | -6.09% | 36.00% | 53.08% | -37.62% |
Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (25 days away)
Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).
| Day | Avg Return | Win Rate | Samples |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monday | 0.57% | 53.6% | 302 |
| Tuesday | 0.04% | 48.8% | 334 |
| Wednesday | 0.19% | 53.6% | 332 |
| Thursday | -0.25% | 41.4% | 324 |
| Friday | 0.11% | 49.8% | 321 |
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 110.1%
Total insider ownership: 1.8%
Founder-led management: Bhaskar Chaudhuri (Co-Founder & Director Emeritus)
| Total Filings | 56 |
|---|---|
| Net Value | -$11.2M |
| Net Shares Change | -266,877 |
| % of Float | -0.3% |
| C-Suite Filings | 40 |
| Clusters Detected | 8 |
| Name | Title | Net Value | Filings | Activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matsuda Masaru | Reporting Person's title: SVP General Counsel and Corporate Secretary | -$1.5M | 3 | N/A |
| Edwards Larry Todd | Reporting Person's title: EVP Chief Commercial Officer | -$825,773.623 | 2 | 1 sell |
| LIN SUE-JEAN | -$688,532.18 | 2 | 1 sell | |
| Gilbert Halley E | -$363,669.521 | 1 | 1 sell | |
| Welgus Howard G. | -$164,219.842 | 1 | N/A | |
| Vairavan Latha | SVP Chief Financial Officer | -$71,843.961 | 1 | N/A |
| Period | Filings | Insiders | Net Value | Seniority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-05 – 2025-08-12 | 6 | 5 | -$491,926.454 | 5 C-suite |
| 2025-10-03 – 2025-10-06 | 3 | 3 | -$1.1M | 2 C-suite |
| 2025-10-30 – 2025-11-10 | 8 | 6 | -$3.0M | 7 C-suite |
| 2025-11-17 – 2025-11-25 | 5 | 5 | -$3.1M | 2 C-suite |
| 2025-12-03 – 2025-12-17 | 3 | 3 | -$643,215.51 | 2 C-suite |
| 2026-02-04 – 2026-02-04 | 6 | 6 | -$2.2M | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-03-03 – 2026-03-04 | 7 | 7 | -$2.5M | 5 C-suite |
| 2026-05-05 – 2026-05-13 | 7 | 5 | -$493,169.142 | 6 C-suite |
| Date | Insider | Title | Net Value | Price After |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 | Edwards Larry Todd | Reporting Person's title: EVP Chief Commercial Officer | -$732,927.221 | Transaction at $25.16, now +14.4% |
| 2026-06-17 | LIN SUE-JEAN | -$120,586.942 | Transaction at $24.38, now +18.0% | |
| 2025-11-21 | Gilbert Halley E | -$363,669.521 | Transaction at $17.53, now +64.2% | |
| 2026-05-05 | Welgus Howard G. | -$164,219.842 | Transaction at $22.99, now +25.2% | |
| 2025-11-25 | LIN SUE-JEAN | -$567,945.238 | Transaction at $19.55, now +47.2% | |
| 2026-02-04 | Matsuda Masaru | Reporting Person's title: SVP General Counsel and Corporate Secretary | -$1.0M | Transaction at $25.28, now +13.8% |
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc (ARQT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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