Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc., a messenger RNA medicines company, focuses on the development of liver and respiratory rare disease therapeutics. Its technology platforms include STARR, a self-amplifying mRNA technology platform, and LUNAR, a lipid-mediated delivery system. The company also develops ARCT-032 (LUNAR-CF), an mRNA therapeutic candidate for cystic fibrosis that is in Phase 2 clinical development; and ARCT-810 (LUNAR-OTC), which … Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Biotechnology
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: April 16, 2020
Headquarters: 10285 Science Center Drive, San Diego, CA, United States, 92121
Founder-Led: Yes — Joseph Payne (Founder, President, CEO & Director), Pad Chivukula (Founder, Chief Scientific Officer, COO & Secretary)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$7.66
Market Cap
$205M
Float
26.2M
Shares Outstanding
28.4M
P/E (Forward)
2.48
Price/Sales (TTM)
3.74
vs. Analyst Target
+159.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
-143.80%
Operating Margin (TTM)
-1403.74%
Revenue (TTM)
$54.7M
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$19.89 (11 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$9.5M
-$72.1M
-$46.4M
-$70.6M
2021
$12.4M
-$204M
$12.4M
-$202M
2022
$206M
$9.3M
$206M
$13.7M
2023
$158M
-$29.7M
$158M
-$24.2M
2024
$138M
-$80.9M
$138M
-$77.4M
2025
$67.2M
-$65.8M
$64.2M
-$71.9M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$24.5M
-$9.2M
Sep 2025
$17.2M
-$13.4M
Dec 2025
$3.1M
-$29.1M
Mar 2026
$610,000
-$27.0M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
8.0%
Institutional Ownership
79.7%
Short Float
24.6%
% of All Funds Holding
1.40%
Number of Funds Holding
115
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$8.06
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$10.04
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$12.32
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$19.59
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$9.80
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$12.30
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$19.91
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$10.10
resistance
1.25x
5 months ago
$19.20
resistance
3.42x
6 months ago
$39.70
resistance
1.60x
22 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (52 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
1.38%
0.00%
44.23%
24.52%
-11.24%
1 Day
-0.21%
-0.89%
44.23%
30.73%
-24.37%
1 Week
3.60%
-0.34%
46.15%
69.10%
-24.60%
2 Weeks
5.33%
0.52%
51.92%
82.84%
-22.57%
1 Month
6.67%
2.75%
50.98%
206.30%
-53.31%
Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
8.5%
53.8%
13
Feb
1.7%
53.8%
13
Mar
-5.1%
23.1%
13
Apr
11.1%
61.5%
13
May
9.5%
58.3%
12
Jun
2.4%
61.5%
13
Jul
9.6%
53.8%
13
Aug
7.3%
53.8%
13
Sep
-5.2%
38.5%
13
Oct
-7.8%
38.5%
13
Nov
3.4%
61.5%
13
Dec
-6.5%
30.8%
13
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.02%
47.3%
613
Tuesday
0.10%
46.7%
675
Wednesday
0.17%
46.2%
669
Thursday
-0.08%
45.5%
657
Friday
0.36%
50.2%
657
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 79.7%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 8.0%
Founder-led management: Joseph Payne (Founder, President, CEO & Director), Pad Chivukula (Founder, Chief Scientific Officer, COO & Secretary)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
(ARCT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.