AOUT — American Outdoor Brands Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About American Outdoor Brands Inc

American Outdoor Brands, Inc. provides outdoor products and accessories for rugged outdoor enthusiasts in the United States and internationally. The company provides shooting sports accessories products, including rests, vaults, and other related accessories; outdoor lifestyle products, such as premium sportsman knives and tools for fishing and hunting; land management tools for hunting preparedness and for use in the backyard; outdoor cooking pr… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.85
Market Cap$115M
Float11.2M
Shares Outstanding12.6M
P/E (Forward)18.21
Price/Sales (TTM)0.56
vs. Analyst Target+26.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-4.78%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.85%
Revenue (TTM)$205M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-33.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$12.50 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $167M -$96.2M $71.0M $9.8M
2021 $277M $18.4M $127M $43.3M
2022 $248M -$64.9M $114M -$39.6M
2023 $191M -$12.0M $88.1M $5.0M
2024 $201M -$12.2M $88.4M $3.6M
2025 $222M -$77,000 $99.3M $13.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $61.9M -$992,000
Jul 2025 $29.7M -$6.8M
Oct 2025 $57.2M $2.1M
Jan 2026 $56.6M -$4.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.5%
Institutional Ownership88.5%
Short Float6.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.02%
Number of Funds Holding84

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.40Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.53Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.51Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.57Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.77Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.46Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.65Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$7.10 support 1.18x 4 months ago
$10.20 resistance 1.15x 7 months ago
$11.60 resistance 2.55x 10 months ago
$15.90 resistance 1.19x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.05% 50.00% 14.04% -16.27%
1 Day -1.33% -0.94% 37.50% 21.38% -21.96%
1 Week -1.94% -4.50% 34.78% 38.26% -23.82%
2 Weeks -2.26% -0.12% 47.83% 37.43% -24.91%
1 Month -0.84% -1.21% 43.48% 37.25% -30.05%

Next earnings: June 25, 2026 (29 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.17% 45.4% 269
Tuesday 0.02% 47.8% 299
Wednesday 0.30% 50.2% 297
Thursday 0.34% 54.7% 289
Friday -0.41% 45.5% 290

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 88.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+$44,000
Net Shares Change5,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Murphy Brian Daniel President and CEO +$22,075 1 1 buy
Fulmer Hugh Andrew EVP, CFO and Treasurer +$21,925 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-23 Murphy Brian Daniel President and CEO +$22,075 Transaction at $8.83, now +11.6%
2025-09-23 Fulmer Hugh Andrew EVP, CFO and Treasurer +$21,925 Transaction at $8.77, now +12.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for American Outdoor Brands Inc (AOUT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AOUT on Trend Edge →