ALGT — Allegiant Travel Company

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Allegiant Travel Company

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and leisure destinations. As of February 1, 2026, it operated a fleet of 106 Airbus A320 series aircraft and 16 Boeing 737 series aircraft. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$71.97
Market Cap$1.40B
Float15.7M
Shares Outstanding18.4M
P/E (Forward)15.70
Price/Sales (TTM)0.54
vs. Analyst Target+40.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.72%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.17%
Revenue (TTM)$2.61B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-84.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$101.18 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $990M -$184M -$4.3M -$127M
2021 $1.71B $152M $232M $446M
2022 $2.30B $2.5M $340M $306M
2023 $2.51B $118M $664M $490M
2024 $2.51B -$240M $1.57B $60.9M
2025 $2.61B -$44.7M $401M $327M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $699M $32.1M
Jun 2025 $689M -$65.2M
Sep 2025 $562M -$43.6M
Dec 2025 $656M $31.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership14.3%
Institutional Ownership92.9%
Short Float13.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.74%
Number of Funds Holding225

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$79.72Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$77.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$72.51Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$76.43Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$76.63Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$72.20Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$75.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$96.00 resistance 1.26x 1 months ago
$50.00 support 1.18x 8 months ago
$48.00 support 1.16x 11 months ago
$42.00 support 1.09x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.24% 0.49% 61.54% 14.94% -11.04%
1 Day 0.41% 0.31% 51.28% 25.06% -15.32%
1 Week 0.27% 0.68% 55.13% 19.02% -27.06%
2 Weeks 0.89% 0.15% 50.00% 44.73% -27.72%
1 Month 1.22% 0.97% 50.65% 56.07% -43.79%

Next earnings: April 30, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.9%55.0%20
Feb0.6%60.0%20
Mar-1.5%50.0%20
Apr-2.5%45.0%20
May-0.9%36.8%19
Jun-0.1%47.4%19
Jul1.2%47.4%19
Aug-1.6%42.1%19
Sep1.7%57.9%19
Oct4.6%68.4%19
Nov8.4%84.2%19
Dec2.4%63.2%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.00% 48.1% 914
Tuesday 0.32% 52.1% 1002
Wednesday -0.02% 47.9% 1001
Thursday -0.02% 49.6% 982
Friday 0.05% 50.7% 978

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 14.3%

Founder-led management: Maurice J. Gallagher Jr. (Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$34.4M
Net Shares Change-302,350
% of Float-1.9%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GALLAGHER MAURICE J JR Executive Chairman -$34.4M 1 2 sell
ELLMER GARY -$98,000 1 1 sell
Morgan Sandra Douglass -$22,750 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-10 GALLAGHER MAURICE J JR Executive Chairman -$34.4M Transaction at $114.89, now -37.4%
2025-08-13 ELLMER GARY -$98,000 Transaction at $49.00, now +46.9%
2025-10-30 Morgan Sandra Douglass -$22,750 Transaction at $65.00, now +10.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ALGT on Trend Edge →